火花 vs 水星|市場共識概率與投注種類比較

WNBA|2026-07-23(香港時間)|資料僅供賽事研究參考,非投注建議

火花水星
香港時間 07/23 03:00 開賽

市場共識概率

53.3%46.7%
火花水星

價差訊號

目前三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。

目前投注種類明細

主客和概率熊貓MTPinnaclePolymarketKalshi1xbet
火花水星火花水星火花水星火花水星火花水星火花水星火花水星
勝負53.3%46.7%1.78-5.2%1.99-7.0%1.8-4.1%2.04-4.6%1.8-4.1%2.03-5.1%1.869-0.5%2.151+0.5%1.887+0.5%2.105-1.6%1.825-2.8%2.025-5.3%
讓球概率熊貓MTPinnaclePolymarket1xbet
火花水星火花水星火花水星火花水星火花水星火花水星
-344.3%55.7%2.14-5.3%1.699-5.3%2.05-9.3%1.72-4.1%
-2.546.2%53.8%2.05-5.4%1.758-5.4%2.01-7.2%1.77-4.7%
-247.8%52.2%1.98-5.4%1.813-5.4%1.95-6.8%1.83-4.5%
-1.549.8%50.2%1.96-2.4%1.9-4.6%1.92-4.4%1.92-3.6%1.917-4.6%1.901-4.6%2.0-0.4%2.0+0.4%1.92-4.4%1.92-3.6%
-151.3%48.7%1.85-5.2%1.99-3.0%1.847-5.3%1.943-5.3%1.85-5.2%1.93-5.9%
+153.8%46.2%1.758-5.4%2.05-5.4%1.74-6.3%2.04-5.8%
+1.555.1%44.9%1.719-5.3%2.11-5.3%1.69-6.9%2.09-6.2%
入球大細概率熊貓MTPinnaclePolymarket1xbet
17754.2%45.8%1.735-6.0%2.05-6.0%1.77-4.1%1.98-9.2%
177.552.9%47.1%1.775-6.2%1.99-6.2%1.82-3.8%1.95-8.1%
17851.7%48.3%1.82-5.9%2.0-3.5%1.813-6.2%1.943-6.2%1.87-3.3%1.909-7.9%
178.550.6%49.4%1.93-2.4%1.91-5.6%1.87-5.5%1.95-3.6%1.87-5.5%1.917-5.2%1.98+0.1%2.02-0.1%1.92-2.9%1.92-5.1%
17949.4%50.6%1.901-6.1%1.855-6.1%1.93-4.7%1.85-6.4%
179.548.2%51.8%1.952-6.0%1.813-6.0%1.97-5.1%1.8-6.7%
18046.9%53.1%2.0-6.1%1.769-6.1%2.01-5.7%1.75-7.1%

數據回顧

本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當,沒到訊號門檻。

看懂這場數據的關鍵

市場共識概率=Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率(市場價格轉換,非 AI 模型)。 本頁隨投注種類更新,完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本:consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理,所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考,不構成投注建議,亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注,理性判斷、量力而為。

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