火花 vs 水星|市場共識概率與投注種類比較

WNBA|2026-07-23(香港時間)|資料僅供賽事研究參考,非投注建議

火花水星
香港時間 07/23 03:00 開賽

市場共識概率

54.2%45.8%
火花水星

價差訊號

目前三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。

目前投注種類明細

主客和概率熊貓MTPinnaclePolymarketKalshi1xbetBet365
火花水星火花水星火花水星火花水星火花水星火花水星火花水星火花水星
勝負54.2%45.8%1.76-4.6%2.04-6.6%1.75-5.1%2.09-4.3%1.769-4.1%2.07-5.2%1.835-0.5%2.198+0.6%1.835-0.5%2.198+0.6%1.794-2.7%2.065-5.4%1.76-4.6%2.1-3.8%
讓球概率熊貓MTPinnaclePolymarket1xbetBet365
火花水星火花水星火花水星火花水星火花水星火花水星火花水星
-345.1%54.9%2.1-5.3%1.725-5.3%2.01-9.4%1.75-3.9%
-2.546.9%53.1%2.02-5.4%1.781-5.4%1.952-8.5%1.81-3.8%1.95-8.6%1.86-1.2%
-248.7%51.3%1.943-5.3%1.847-5.3%1.909-7.0%1.87-4.1%
-1.550.6%49.4%1.87-5.4%1.99-1.6%1.88-4.9%1.96-3.1%1.885-4.7%1.935-4.4%1.98+0.1%2.02-0.2%1.89-4.4%1.951-3.6%
-152.0%48.0%1.8-6.4%2.04-2.1%1.82-5.4%1.971-5.4%1.81-5.9%1.98-4.9%
+154.7%45.3%1.73-5.3%2.09-5.3%1.7-7.0%2.1-4.9%
+1.556.0%44.0%1.69-5.4%2.15-5.4%1.66-7.1%2.14-5.8%
入球大細概率熊貓MTPinnaclePolymarket1xbetBet365
17754.6%45.4%1.719-6.1%2.07-6.1%1.77-3.3%1.98-10.2%
177.553.3%46.7%1.763-6.1%2.01-6.1%1.81-3.6%1.96-8.4%
17852.2%47.8%1.8-6.1%2.02-3.3%1.8-6.1%1.962-6.1%1.86-3.0%1.92-8.1%
178.551.0%49.0%1.89-3.6%1.95-4.5%1.85-5.6%1.97-3.5%1.855-5.3%1.935-5.2%1.961+0.1%2.041-0.0%1.92-2.0%1.92-6.0%1.9-3.0%1.9-7.0%
17949.8%50.2%1.885-6.1%1.87-6.1%1.93-3.9%1.85-7.1%
179.548.6%51.4%1.935-6.1%1.826-6.1%1.96-4.8%1.81-6.9%
18047.4%52.6%1.98-6.2%1.781-6.2%2-5.3%1.76-7.3%

數據回顧

本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當,沒到訊號門檻。

看懂這場數據的關鍵

市場共識概率=Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率(市場價格轉換,非 AI 模型)。 本頁隨投注種類更新,完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本:consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理,所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考,不構成投注建議,亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注,理性判斷、量力而為。

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