荷甲｜2026-08-08（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 前進之鷹 | 和 | 威廉二世 | 前進之鷹 | 和 | 威廉二世 | 前進之鷹 | 和 | 威廉二世 | 前進之鷹 | 和 | 威廉二世 | 前進之鷹 | 和 | 威廉二世 | 前進之鷹 | 和 | 威廉二世 | 前進之鷹 | 和 | 威廉二世 | 前進之鷹 | 和 | 威廉二世 | |
| 勝負 | 62.4% | 21.8% | 15.8% | 1.41-12.1% | 4.2-8.3% | 5.4-14.7% | 1.67+4.1% | 4.35-5.0% | 4.45-29.7% | 1.45-9.6% | 8.2 | 3.28-48.2% | 1.546-3.6% | 4.34-5.3% | 5.97-5.6% | 1.6-0.2% | 4.651+1.5% | 6.452+2.0% | 1.553-3.1% | 4.37-4.6% | 5.91-6.6% | 1.65+2.9% | 4.2-8.3% | 5.0-21.0% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 前進之鷹 | 威廉二世 | 前進之鷹 | 威廉二世 | 前進之鷹 | 威廉二世 | 前進之鷹 | 威廉二世 | 前進之鷹 | 威廉二世 | 前進之鷹 | 威廉二世 | 前進之鷹 | 威廉二世 | 前進之鷹 | 威廉二世 | |
| -2.5 | 20.5% | 79.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.878+0.0% | 1.258+0.0% | 3.96-18.8% | 1.172-6.8% | 4.8-1.6% | 1.175-6.6% |
| -2 | 26.3% | 73.7% | — | — | — | — | 2.04-46.4% | 1.8 | 3.66-3.9% | 1.304-3.9% | — | — | 3.28-13.8% | 1.25-7.8% | 4.0+5.1% | 1.23-9.3% |
| -1.75 | 33.8% | 66.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84-3.9% | 1.452-3.9% | — | — | — | — | 3.1+4.9% | 1.35-10.7% |
| -1.5 | 39.7% | 60.3% | — | — | — | — | 2.44-3.0% | 1.61-3.0% | 2.41-4.2% | 1.606-3.2% | 2.532+0.6% | 1.653-0.4% | 2.394-4.9% | 1.603-3.4% | 2.6+3.3% | 1.475-11.1% |
| -1.25 | 45.0% | 55.0% | — | — | — | — | 2.17-2.4% | 1.77-2.6% | 2.15-3.3% | 1.758-3.3% | — | — | — | — | 2.3+3.5% | 1.6-12.0% |
| -1 | 51.6% | 48.4% | 1.83-5.6% | 1.97-4.7% | — | — | 1.87-3.5% | 2.05-0.8% | 1.885-2.7% | 2.01-2.7% | — | — | 1.82-6.1% | 1.93-6.6% | 2.05+5.8% | 1.75-15.3% |
| -0.75 | 57.7% | 42.3% | 1.71-1.3% | 2.12-10.4% | 1.87+8.0% | 2.03-14.2% | 1.65-4.7% | 2.36-0.3% | 1.676-3.2% | 2.29-3.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.775+2.5% | 2.025-14.4% |
| -0.5 | 62.5% | 37.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.543-3.6% | 2.57-3.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.625+1.5% | 4.5 |
| -0.25 | 70.0% | 30.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.373-3.9% | 3.2-3.9% | — | — | — | — | 1.45+1.5% | 4.15+24.6% |
| 0 | 79.4% | 20.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.211-3.8% | 4.68-3.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.275+1.3% | 3.55-27.0% |
| +1.5 | 95.0% | 5.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.053+0.0% | 20.0+0.0% | 1.01-4.1% | 10-50.0% | — | — |
| +2.5 | 98.5% | 1.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.015-0.0% | 66.667-0.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 95.5% | 4.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.047-0.0% | 22.222-0.0% | 1.019-2.7% | 16-28.0% | 1.025-2.1% | 17.0-23.5% |
| 1.5 | 82.2% | 17.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.168-4.0% | 5.3-5.8% | 1.212-0.3% | 5.714+1.6% | 1.119-8.0% | 4.75-15.6% | 1.166-4.1% | 5.0-11.1% |
| 2.5 | 61.5% | 38.5% | 1.52-6.5% | 2.35-9.6% | — | — | 1.54-5.2% | 2.56-1.6% | 1.559-4.1% | 2.5-3.9% | 1.626+0.1% | 2.597-0.1% | 1.49-8.3% | 2.32-10.8% | 1.571-3.3% | 2.35-9.6% |
| 2.75 | 57.2% | 42.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.72-1.7% | 2.21-5.4% | 1.685-3.7% | 2.25-3.7% | — | — | — | — | 1.7-2.8% | 2.1-10.1% |
| 3 | 51.4% | 48.6% | — | — | 1.99+2.2% | 1.89-8.1% | 1.9-2.4% | 2.0-2.7% | 1.885-3.2% | 1.99-3.2% | — | — | 1.79-8.1% | 1.88-8.5% | 1.9-2.4% | 1.9-7.6% |
| 3.25 | 45.4% | 54.6% | 2.13-3.3% | 1.63-11.0% | — | — | 2.17-1.5% | 1.75-4.5% | 2.12-3.7% | 1.763-3.7% | — | — | — | — | 2.1-4.7% | 1.7-7.2% |
| 3.5 | 40.0% | 60.0% | 2.4-3.9% | 1.5-10.0% | — | — | — | — | 2.37-5.1% | 1.617-3.0% | 2.532+1.3% | 1.653-0.9% | 2.355-5.7% | 1.621-2.8% | 2.375-4.9% | 1.533-8.1% |
| 4.5 | 22.4% | 77.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.12-7.9% | 1.245-3.3% | 4.651+4.0% | 1.274-1.1% | 3.78-15.5% | 1.192-7.4% | 4.0-10.6% | 1.222-5.1% |
| 5.5 | 9.5% | 90.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.526+0.0% | 1.105+0.0% | 6.85-34.9% | 1.042-5.7% | 8.0-24.0% | 1.083-2.0% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。