荷甲・同日第 2 場｜2026-08-09（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 格羅寧根 | 和 | 烏特勒支 | 格羅寧根 | 和 | 烏特勒支 | 格羅寧根 | 和 | 烏特勒支 | 格羅寧根 | 和 | 烏特勒支 | 格羅寧根 | 和 | 烏特勒支 | 格羅寧根 | 和 | 烏特勒支 | 格羅寧根 | 和 | 烏特勒支 | 格羅寧根 | 和 | 烏特勒支 | |
| 勝負 | 43.5% | 27.0% | 29.5% | 2.17-5.7% | 3.25-12.1% | 2.75-18.9% | 3.55 | 4.25+14.9% | 1.64-51.6% | 1.94-15.7% | 6.2 | 2.24-33.9% | 2.23-3.1% | 3.56-3.7% | 3.21-5.3% | 2.247-2.3% | 3.636-1.7% | 3.39-0.0% | 2.264-1.6% | 3.455-6.6% | 3.215-5.2% | 2.25-2.2% | 3.4-8.1% | 3.2-5.6% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 格羅寧根 | 烏特勒支 | 格羅寧根 | 烏特勒支 | 格羅寧根 | 烏特勒支 | 格羅寧根 | 烏特勒支 | 格羅寧根 | 烏特勒支 | 格羅寧根 | 烏特勒支 | 格羅寧根 | 烏特勒支 | |
| -2.5 | 8.5% | 91.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.765+0.0% | 1.093+0.0% | 8.8-25.2% | 1.008-7.8% | — | — |
| -1.5 | 21.0% | 79.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.762+0.0% | 1.266+0.0% | 4.05-14.9% | 1.164-8.0% | 4.25-10.7% | 6.4 |
| -1.25 | 25.0% | 75.0% | — | — | — | — | 3.84-3.9% | 1.282-3.9% | — | — | — | — | 3.8-4.9% | 5.9 |
| -1 | 28.3% | 71.7% | — | — | — | — | 3.4-3.9% | 1.339-3.9% | — | — | 3.22-9.0% | 1.26-9.6% | 3.45-2.5% | 5.5 |
| -0.75 | 36.6% | 63.4% | — | — | 2.69-1.7% | 1.51-4.2% | 2.64-3.5% | 1.521-3.5% | — | — | — | — | 2.6-5.0% | 3.8 |
| -0.5 | 43.3% | 56.7% | — | — | 1.94-16.0% | 1.9+7.7% | 2.23-3.4% | 1.704-3.4% | — | — | — | — | 2.2-4.7% | 3.1 |
| -0.25 | 50.0% | 50.0% | — | — | 1.98-1.0% | 1.94-3.0% | 1.943-2.8% | 1.943-2.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.95-2.5% | 1.85-7.5% |
| 0 | 59.1% | 40.9% | — | — | — | — | 1.637-3.2% | 2.37-3.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.625-3.9% | 2.25-8.1% |
| +0.25 | 65.4% | 34.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.476-3.5% | 2.79-3.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.45-5.2% | 2.675-7.4% |
| +0.5 | 69.9% | 30.1% | — | — | — | — | 1.375-3.9% | 3.19-3.9% | — | — | — | — | 1.35-5.7% | 1.65-50.3% |
| +0.75 | 76.2% | 23.8% | 1.95 | 1.87-55.5% | — | — | 1.262-3.8% | 4.04-3.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.25-4.8% | 1.475-64.9% |
| +1.5 | 87.5% | 12.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.143+0.0% | 8.0+0.0% | 1.052-8.0% | 6.45-19.4% | 1.115-2.4% | 1.21-84.9% |
| +2.5 | 96.0% | 4.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.042+0.0% | 25.0+0.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 93.5% | 6.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.07+0.0% | 15.385+0.0% | 1.018-4.8% | 12.7-17.4% | 1.04-2.8% | 13.0-15.5% |
| 1.5 | 77.1% | 22.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.247-3.8% | 4.11-5.9% | 1.29-0.5% | 4.444+1.7% | 1.186-8.5% | 3.84-12.1% | 1.24-4.4% | 3.9-10.7% |
| 2.25 | 60.9% | 39.1% | — | — | — | — | 1.57-4.4% | 2.49-2.7% | 1.578-3.9% | 2.46-3.9% | — | — | — | — | 1.575-4.0% | 2.35-8.2% |
| 2.5 | 54.2% | 45.8% | 1.75-5.1% | 1.95-10.7% | — | — | 1.79-3.0% | 2.12-2.9% | 1.787-3.1% | 2.09-4.3% | 1.835-0.5% | 2.198+0.7% | 1.792-2.9% | 2.067-5.3% | 1.8-2.4% | 2.0-8.4% |
| 2.75 | 48.4% | 51.6% | 1.97-4.6% | 1.74-10.2% | — | — | 1.99-3.7% | 1.91-1.5% | 2.0-3.2% | 1.877-3.2% | — | — | — | — | 2.0-3.2% | 1.8-7.1% |
| 3 | 41.5% | 58.5% | — | — | — | — | 2.38-1.3% | 1.62-5.2% | 2.32-3.7% | 1.645-3.7% | — | — | 2.2-8.7% | 1.57-8.1% | 2.3-4.6% | 1.6-6.4% |
| 3.25 | 36.7% | 63.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.62-3.9% | 1.518-3.9% | — | — | — | — | 2.6-4.6% | 1.475-6.6% |
| 3.5 | 32.2% | 67.8% | 2.92-5.9% | 1.34-9.2% | 1.84-40.7% | 1.96 | — | — | 2.9-6.5% | 1.427-3.3% | 3.175+2.4% | 1.46-1.1% | 2.72-12.3% | 1.36-7.8% | 2.85-8.1% | 1.4-5.1% |
| 4.5 | 16.7% | 83.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5.37-10.5% | 1.165-2.9% | 6.452+7.5% | 1.183-1.4% | 5.15-14.2% | 1.097-8.6% | 5.75-4.2% | 1.14-5.0% |
| 5.5 | 6.5% | 93.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.385+0.0% | 1.07+0.0% | 9.3-39.5% | 1.02-4.6% | 11.0-28.5% | 1.05-1.8% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。