荷甲・同日第 2 場｜2026-08-09（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 海倫芬 | 和 | 特溫特 | 海倫芬 | 和 | 特溫特 | 海倫芬 | 和 | 特溫特 | 海倫芬 | 和 | 特溫特 | 海倫芬 | 和 | 特溫特 | 海倫芬 | 和 | 特溫特 | 海倫芬 | 和 | 特溫特 | 海倫芬 | 和 | 特溫特 | |
| 勝負 | 30.9% | 24.7% | 44.4% | 2.86-11.7% | 3.6-11.1% | 1.98-12.1% | 1.81-44.1% | 4.0-1.2% | 3.1 | 2.3-29.0% | 6.3 | 1.89-16.1% | 3.09-4.6% | 3.88-4.2% | 2.18-3.2% | 3.279+1.3% | 4.082+0.8% | 2.247-0.2% | 3.105-4.1% | 3.825-5.5% | 2.181-3.1% | 3.0-7.4% | 3.75-7.4% | 2.25-0.1% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 海倫芬 | 特溫特 | 海倫芬 | 特溫特 | 海倫芬 | 特溫特 | 海倫芬 | 特溫特 | 海倫芬 | 特溫特 | 海倫芬 | 特溫特 | 海倫芬 | 特溫特 | 海倫芬 | 特溫特 | |
| -2.5 | 5.4% | 94.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.692+0.0% | 1.057+0.0% | — | — | — | — |
| -1.5 | 14.5% | 85.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.897+0.0% | 1.17+0.0% | 5.8-15.9% | 1.072-8.3% | 5.5-20.2% | 3.9 |
| -0.75 | 25.3% | 74.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81-3.8% | 1.287-3.8% | — | — | — | — | 3.45-12.9% | 2.6 |
| -0.5 | 31.3% | 68.7% | — | — | 1.81-43.4% | 2.01 | — | — | 3.07-3.9% | 1.398-3.9% | — | — | — | — | 2.85-10.8% | 2.25 |
| -0.25 | 35.5% | 64.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72-3.4% | 1.498-3.4% | — | — | — | — | 2.5-11.2% | 1.5-3.3% |
| 0 | 41.3% | 58.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.34-3.4% | 1.645-3.4% | — | — | — | — | 2.15-11.2% | 1.675-1.6% |
| +0.25 | 49.5% | 50.5% | 1.92-4.9% | 1.88-5.1% | — | — | 2.0-0.9% | 1.92-3.1% | 1.962-2.8% | 1.926-2.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.85-8.4% | 1.95-1.6% |
| +0.5 | 55.7% | 44.3% | — | — | — | — | 1.95+8.6% | 1.89-16.2% | 1.735-3.4% | 2.18-3.4% | — | — | — | — | 1.625-9.5% | 1.4-38.0% |
| +0.75 | 61.7% | 38.3% | — | — | — | — | 1.58-2.5% | 2.51-4.0% | 1.562-3.6% | 2.52-3.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.475-8.9% | 1.3-50.3% |
| +1 | 69.2% | 30.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.389-3.9% | 3.12-3.9% | — | — | 1.31-9.4% | 2.93-9.7% | 1.325-8.3% | 1.19-63.3% |
| +1.25 | 72.4% | 27.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.327-3.9% | 3.48-3.9% | — | — | — | — | 1.275-7.7% | 1.17-67.7% |
| +1.5 | 76.0% | 24.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.316+0.0% | 4.167+0.0% | 1.21-8.0% | 3.58-14.1% | 1.24-5.8% | 1.15-72.4% |
| +2.5 | 89.5% | 10.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.117-0.0% | 9.524-0.0% | 1.031-7.7% | 7.4-22.3% | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 96.2% | 3.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.04+0.0% | 26.316+0.0% | 1.025-1.4% | 19-27.8% | 1.02-1.9% | 19.0-27.8% |
| 1.5 | 84.1% | 15.9% | — | — | — | — | 1.144-3.8% | 5.89-6.5% | 1.183-0.5% | 6.452+2.5% | 1.085-8.7% | 5.45-13.5% | 1.142-3.9% | 5.5-12.7% |
| 2.5 | 65.0% | 35.0% | — | — | — | — | 1.481-3.7% | 2.7-5.6% | 1.527-0.7% | 2.899+1.4% | 1.41-8.3% | 2.54-11.2% | 1.475-4.1% | 2.6-9.1% |
| 2.75 | 60.6% | 39.4% | — | — | 1.6-3.0% | 2.42-4.7% | 1.585-3.9% | 2.44-3.9% | — | — | — | — | 1.575-4.5% | 2.35-7.5% |
| 3 | 55.5% | 44.5% | — | — | 1.82+0.9% | 2.08-7.3% | 1.735-3.8% | 2.16-3.8% | — | — | 1.66-7.9% | 2.05-8.7% | 1.725-4.3% | 2.075-7.6% |
| 3.25 | 49.1% | 50.9% | 2.02-0.8% | 1.7-13.5% | 2.04+0.2% | 1.86-5.3% | 1.971-3.2% | 1.901-3.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.975-3.0% | 1.825-7.1% |
| 3.5 | 43.2% | 56.8% | 2.29-1.0% | 1.55-12.0% | 2.25-2.7% | 1.7-3.5% | 2.19-5.3% | 1.719-2.4% | 2.353+1.7% | 1.739-1.3% | 2.183-5.6% | 1.714-2.7% | 2.1-9.2% | 1.666-5.4% |
| 3.75 | 38.5% | 61.5% | — | — | — | — | 2.5-3.9% | 1.562-3.9% | — | — | — | — | 2.425-6.7% | 1.525-6.1% |
| 4.5 | 25.4% | 74.6% | 3.65-7.3% | 1.23-8.2% | — | — | 3.64-7.6% | 1.297-3.2% | 4.082+3.6% | 1.325-1.1% | 3.44-12.7% | 1.23-8.2% | 3.75-4.8% | 1.25-6.7% |
| 5.5 | 13.1% | 86.9% | — | — | — | — | 6.74-11.6% | 1.118-2.9% | 8.333+9.3% | 1.136-1.3% | 6.4-16.1% | 1.054-8.4% | 7.0-8.2% | 1.1-4.4% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。