中超・同日第 2 場|2026-08-15(香港時間)|資料僅供賽事研究參考,非投注建議
目前,三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | Bet365 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 浙江職業 | 和 | 成都蓉城 | 浙江職業 | 和 | 成都蓉城 | 浙江職業 | 和 | 成都蓉城 | 浙江職業 | 和 | 成都蓉城 | 浙江職業 | 和 | 成都蓉城 | 浙江職業 | 和 | 成都蓉城 | |
| 勝負 | 31.7% | 23.8% | 44.4% | 2.85-9.5% | 3.85-8.3% | 2.09-7.2% | 2.71-14.0% | 3.49-16.8% | 2.14-4.9% | 3.02-4.1% | 4.0-4.7% | 2.18-3.2% | 3.175+0.8% | 4.255+1.4% | 2.247-0.2% | 3.0-4.8% | 3.8-9.4% | 2.1-6.7% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | Bet365 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 浙江職業 | 成都蓉城 | 浙江職業 | 成都蓉城 | 浙江職業 | 成都蓉城 | 浙江職業 | 成都蓉城 | 浙江職業 | 成都蓉城 | 浙江職業 | 成都蓉城 | |
| -2.5 | 6.2% | 93.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16.129-0.0% | 1.066-0.0% | — | — |
| -1.5 | 15.5% | 84.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.452-0.0% | 1.183-0.0% | — | — |
| -0.75 | 26.2% | 73.8% | — | — | — | — | 3.66-4.1% | 1.3-4.1% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.5 | 32.0% | 68.0% | — | — | — | — | 2.99-4.2% | 1.41-4.2% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.25 | 36.2% | 63.8% | — | — | — | — | 2.66-3.7% | 1.51-3.7% | — | — | 未提供 | 1.875+19.6% |
| 0 | 41.8% | 58.2% | — | — | — | — | 2.3-3.8% | 1.654-3.8% | — | — | 2.3-3.8% | 1.6-6.9% |
| +0.25 | 49.5% | 50.5% | 1.98-1.9% | 1.88-5.1% | 1.96-2.9% | 1.92-3.1% | 1.962-2.8% | 1.926-2.8% | — | — | 1.925-4.6% | 未提供 |
| +0.5 | 55.6% | 44.4% | — | — | 1.75-2.6% | 2.14-5.1% | 1.73-3.7% | 2.17-3.7% | — | — | 1.7-5.4% | 1.375-39.0% |
| +0.75 | 61.6% | 38.4% | — | — | — | — | 1.562-3.7% | 2.51-3.7% | — | — | 1.525-6.0% | 1.275-51.1% |
| +1 | 69.2% | 30.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.386-4.1% | 3.11-4.1% | — | — | 1.375-4.9% | 1.175-63.8% |
| +1.25 | 72.4% | 27.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.324-4.1% | 3.48-4.1% | — | — | 1.3-5.8% | 1.15-68.3% |
| +1.5 | 75.5% | 24.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.325+0.0% | 4.082+0.0% | 1.26-4.9% | 1.14-72.1% |
| +2.5 | 89.0% | 11.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.124+0.0% | 9.091+0.0% | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | Bet365 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 96.8% | 3.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.033-0.0% | 31.25-0.0% | 1.012-2.0% | 23.0-26.4% |
| 1.5 | 85.9% | 14.1% | — | — | — | — | 1.122-3.6% | 6.49-8.4% | 1.156-0.7% | 7.407+4.6% | 1.111-4.6% | 6.5-8.2% |
| 2.5 | 67.8% | 32.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.422-3.6% | 2.9-6.6% | 1.46-1.0% | 3.175+2.2% | 1.4-5.1% | 2.875-7.4% |
| 2.75 | 63.6% | 36.4% | — | — | — | — | 1.508-4.2% | 2.63-4.2% | — | — | 1.5-4.7% | 2.5-8.9% |
| 3 | 59.0% | 41.0% | — | — | 1.61-5.0% | 2.33-4.5% | 1.625-4.1% | 2.34-4.1% | — | — | 1.6-5.6% | 2.3-5.7% |
| 3.25 | 52.4% | 47.6% | — | — | 1.87-2.1% | 1.99-5.2% | 1.847-3.3% | 2.03-3.3% | — | — | 1.825-4.4% | 1.975-5.9% |
| 3.5 | 46.7% | 53.3% | 2.0-6.5% | 1.84-2.0% | 2.07-3.3% | 1.79-4.6% | 2.04-4.7% | 1.806-3.8% | 2.151+0.5% | 1.869-0.4% | 1.909-10.8% | 1.8-4.1% |
| 3.75 | 41.7% | 58.3% | — | — | — | — | 2.3-4.1% | 1.645-4.1% | — | — | 2.25-6.2% | 1.625-5.3% |
| 4.5 | 28.3% | 71.7% | — | — | — | — | 3.29-7.1% | 1.344-3.6% | 3.636+2.7% | 1.379-1.1% | 3.4-3.9% | 1.3-6.7% |
| 5.5 | 15.3% | 84.7% | — | — | — | — | 5.91-9.4% | 1.14-3.5% | 6.897+5.8% | 1.17-0.9% | 6.0-8.0% | 1.125-4.8% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當,沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻,因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估,了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率=Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率(市場價格轉換,非 AI 模型)。 本頁隨投注種類更新,完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本:consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理,所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考,不構成投注建議,亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注,理性判斷、量力而為。