西甲｜2026-08-15（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 阿拉維斯 | 和 | 赫塔費 | 阿拉維斯 | 和 | 赫塔費 | 阿拉維斯 | 和 | 赫塔費 | 阿拉維斯 | 和 | 赫塔費 | 阿拉維斯 | 和 | 赫塔費 | 阿拉維斯 | 和 | 赫塔費 | 阿拉維斯 | 和 | 赫塔費 | 阿拉維斯 | 和 | 赫塔費 | |
| 勝負 | 40.0% | 34.3% | 25.7% | 2.3-8.0% | 2.53-13.3% | 3.3-15.1% | 2.33-6.8% | 2.9-0.6% | 3.55-8.6% | 1.5-40.0% | 7.6 | 3.09-20.5% | 2.44-2.4% | 2.83-3.0% | 3.71-4.5% | 2.469-1.3% | 2.899-0.7% | 3.922+0.9% | 2.478-0.9% | 2.905-0.4% | 3.735-3.9% | 2.3-8.0% | 2.8-4.0% | 3.6-7.4% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 阿拉維斯 | 赫塔費 | 阿拉維斯 | 赫塔費 | 阿拉維斯 | 赫塔費 | 阿拉維斯 | 赫塔費 | 阿拉維斯 | 赫塔費 | 阿拉維斯 | 赫塔費 | 阿拉維斯 | 赫塔費 | 阿拉維斯 | 赫塔費 | |
| -2.5 | 4.5% | 95.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.222-0.0% | 1.047-0.0% | — | — | — | — |
| -1.5 | 15.5% | 84.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.96-69.6% | 1.88 | — | — | 6.452-0.0% | 1.183-0.0% | 5.3-17.9% | 1.1-7.0% | 5.25-18.7% | 未提供 |
| -1.25 | 18.9% | 81.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5.14-3.1% | 1.194-3.1% | — | — | — | — | 4.5-15.2% | 未提供 |
| -1 | 21.6% | 78.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.49-3.1% | 1.235-3.1% | — | — | 4.2-9.4% | 1.179-7.5% | 4.0-13.7% | 未提供 |
| -0.75 | 31.9% | 68.1% | — | — | — | — | 3.12-0.6% | 1.41-3.9% | 3.05-2.8% | 1.426-2.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| -0.5 | 39.8% | 60.2% | — | — | — | — | 2.47-1.7% | 1.62-2.5% | 2.44-2.9% | 1.613-2.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| -0.25 | 48.0% | 52.0% | 2.02-3.0% | 1.79-7.0% | 1.98-4.9% | 1.92-0.2% | 2.03-2.5% | 1.91-0.7% | 2.04-2.0% | 1.885-2.0% | — | — | — | — | 1.975-5.1% | 未提供 |
| 0 | 60.5% | 39.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.606-2.8% | 2.46-2.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.55-6.2% | 2.375-6.2% |
| +0.25 | 68.5% | 31.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.418-2.8% | 3.09-2.8% | — | — | — | — | 未提供 | 1.875-41.0% |
| +0.5 | 73.7% | 26.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.312-3.3% | 3.68-3.3% | — | — | — | — | 1.3-4.2% | 1.6-57.9% |
| +0.75 | 80.7% | 19.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.201-3.1% | 5.01-3.1% | — | — | — | — | 1.19-4.0% | 1.425-72.4% |
| +1.5 | 92.5% | 7.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.081-0.0% | 13.333-0.0% | 1.01-6.6% | 9.2-31.0% | 未提供 | 1.16-91.3% |
| +2.5 | 98.3% | 1.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.017+0.0% | 60.606+0.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 83.5% | 16.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.198+0.0% | 6.061+0.0% | 1.11-7.3% | 5.35-11.7% | 1.166-2.6% | 5.0-17.5% |
| 0.75 | 80.5% | 19.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.174-5.5% | 4.85-5.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.18-5.0% | 4.65-9.4% |
| 1 | 77.4% | 22.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.224-5.3% | 4.18-5.3% | — | — | 1.21-6.4% | 4.05-8.3% | 1.23-4.9% | 4.0-9.4% |
| 1.25 | 65.7% | 34.3% | — | — | — | — | 1.48-2.8% | 2.78-4.5% | 1.459-4.2% | 2.79-4.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.45-4.8% | 2.675-8.1% |
| 1.5 | 57.7% | 42.3% | 1.71-1.4% | 2.01-15.0% | — | — | 1.71-1.4% | 2.26-4.4% | 1.699-2.0% | 2.24-5.2% | 1.709-1.4% | 2.41+2.0% | 1.742+0.5% | 2.267-4.1% | 1.666-3.9% | 2.2-6.9% |
| 1.75 | 49.8% | 50.2% | 1.95-3.0% | 1.75-12.1% | 1.96-2.5% | 1.92-3.5% | 1.92-4.5% | 2.0+0.5% | 1.962-2.4% | 1.943-2.4% | — | — | — | — | 1.95-3.0% | 1.9-4.5% |
| 2 | 40.0% | 60.0% | — | — | — | — | 2.33-6.9% | 1.67+0.3% | 2.42-3.3% | 1.61-3.3% | — | — | 2.26-9.7% | 1.58-5.1% | — | — |
| 2.25 | 33.5% | 66.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.86-4.1% | 1.442-4.1% | — | — | — | — | 2.75-7.8% | 1.425-5.3% |
| 2.5 | 29.2% | 70.8% | 3.2-6.4% | 1.29-8.7% | — | — | — | — | 3.28-4.1% | 1.339-5.3% | 3.39-0.9% | 1.418+0.3% | 2.98-12.9% | 1.33-5.9% | 3.2-6.4% | 1.363-3.6% |
| 2.75 | 22.9% | 77.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.14-5.3% | 1.228-5.3% | — | — | — | — | 3.9-10.8% | 1.24-4.4% |
| 3.5 | 12.5% | 87.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8.0+0.0% | 1.143+0.0% | 6.25-21.9% | 1.057-7.5% | 6.5-18.7% | 1.111-2.8% |
| 4.5 | 4.5% | 95.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.222-0.0% | 1.047-0.0% | 14.5-34.8% | 1.03-1.6% | 15.0-32.5% | 1.03-1.6% |
| 5.5 | 1.4% | 98.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 74.074+0.0% | 1.014+0.0% | 27-63.5% | 1.005-0.9% | 34.0-54.1% | 1.005-0.9% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。