法甲｜2026-08-22（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 尼斯 | 和 | 洛里昂 | 尼斯 | 和 | 洛里昂 | 尼斯 | 和 | 洛里昂 | 尼斯 | 和 | 洛里昂 | 尼斯 | 和 | 洛里昂 | 尼斯 | 和 | 洛里昂 | 尼斯 | 和 | 洛里昂 | |
| 勝負 | 39.8% | 30.6% | 29.6% | 2.17-13.6% | 3.1-5.2% | 2.86-15.3% | 2.13-15.2% | 3.6+10.1% | 3.2-5.2% | 2.5-0.5% | 3.16-3.4% | 2.89-14.4% | 2.44-2.9% | 3.19-2.4% | 3.29-2.6% | 2.532+0.8% | 3.279+0.3% | 3.39+0.4% | 2.439-2.9% | 3.415+4.4% | 3.2-5.2% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 尼斯 | 洛里昂 | 尼斯 | 洛里昂 | 尼斯 | 洛里昂 | 尼斯 | 洛里昂 | 尼斯 | 洛里昂 | 尼斯 | 洛里昂 | 尼斯 | 洛里昂 | |
| -2.5 | 5.5% | 94.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.182-0.0% | 1.058-0.0% | 11-39.5% | 1.01-4.6% |
| -1.5 | 17.0% | 83.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5.882+0.0% | 1.205+0.0% | 4.8-18.4% | 1.123-6.8% |
| -1.25 | 21.1% | 78.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.6-3.0% | 1.23-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| -1 | 23.8% | 76.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07-3.0% | 1.274-3.0% | — | — | 3.84-8.5% | 1.21-7.8% |
| -0.75 | 32.9% | 67.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96-2.7% | 1.45-2.7% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.5 | 40.0% | 60.0% | — | — | — | — | 2.51+0.5% | 1.58-5.3% | 2.44-2.3% | 1.629-2.3% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.25 | 47.1% | 52.9% | 2.0-5.7% | 1.82-3.8% | 1.87-11.8% | 2.03+7.3% | 2.13+0.4% | 1.8-4.9% | 2.08-1.9% | 1.855-1.9% | — | — | — | — |
| 0 | 57.5% | 42.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.699-2.3% | 2.3-2.3% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.25 | 65.1% | 34.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.498-2.5% | 2.79-2.5% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.5 | 70.3% | 29.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.38-3.0% | 3.26-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.75 | 77.1% | 22.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.259-3.0% | 4.23-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +1.5 | 88.5% | 11.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.13+0.0% | 8.696+0.0% | 1.047-7.3% | 6.95-20.1% |
| +2.5 | 96.8% | 3.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.033-0.0% | 31.25-0.0% | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 90.5% | 9.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.105+0.0% | 10.526+0.0% | 1.014-8.2% | 8.4-20.2% |
| 1.25 | 76.3% | 23.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.264-3.5% | 4.08-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 1.5 | 69.1% | 30.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.403-3.0% | 3.09-4.6% | 1.439-0.5% | 3.279+1.2% | 1.35-6.7% | 2.88-11.1% |
| 1.75 | 64.2% | 35.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.51-3.0% | 2.71-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | 58.0% | 42.0% | — | — | — | — | 1.66-3.8% | 2.28-4.1% | 1.676-2.9% | 2.31-2.9% | — | — | 1.62-6.1% | 2.18-8.3% |
| 2.25 | 49.1% | 50.9% | — | — | — | — | 1.98-2.8% | 1.92-2.2% | 1.99-2.4% | 1.917-2.4% | — | — | — | — |
| 2.5 | 42.6% | 57.4% | 1.98-15.7% | 1.73-0.6% | 1.9-19.1% | 1.98+13.7% | 2.25-4.2% | 1.7-2.4% | 2.28-3.0% | 1.694-2.7% | 2.353+0.1% | 1.739-0.1% | 2.3-2.1% | 1.723-1.0% |
| 2.75 | 36.6% | 63.4% | 2.3-15.8% | 1.54-2.3% | — | — | — | — | 2.65-3.0% | 1.529-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | 29.0% | 71.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33-3.4% | 1.36-3.4% | — | — | 3.26-5.5% | 1.3-7.7% |
| 3.25 | 26.0% | 74.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.71-3.5% | 1.304-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 3.5 | 22.0% | 78.0% | 3.4-25.2% | 1.26-1.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.545-0.0% | 1.282-0.0% | 4.05-10.9% | 1.19-7.2% |
| 4.5 | 9.0% | 91.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.111+0.0% | 1.099+0.0% | 8.3-25.3% | 1.015-7.6% |
| 5.5 | 3.4% | 96.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 29.851+0.0% | 1.035+0.0% | 16.5-44.7% | 1.02-1.4% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。