荷甲｜2026-08-22（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 海倫芬 | 和 | 茲沃勒 | 海倫芬 | 和 | 茲沃勒 | 海倫芬 | 和 | 茲沃勒 | 海倫芬 | 和 | 茲沃勒 | 海倫芬 | 和 | 茲沃勒 | 海倫芬 | 和 | 茲沃勒 | 海倫芬 | 和 | 茲沃勒 | |
| 勝負 | 61.3% | 20.6% | 18.0% | 1.41-13.5% | 4.35-10.3% | 5.1-8.0% | 1.57-3.7% | 4.7-3.1% | 4.9-11.6% | 1.29-20.9% | 9.0 | 4.3-22.4% | 1.585-2.8% | 4.67-3.7% | 5.21-6.0% | 1.626-0.3% | 4.878+0.6% | 5.714+3.1% | 1.585-2.8% | 4.58-5.5% | 5.19-6.3% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 海倫芬 | 茲沃勒 | 海倫芬 | 茲沃勒 | 海倫芬 | 茲沃勒 | 海倫芬 | 茲沃勒 | 海倫芬 | 茲沃勒 | 海倫芬 | 茲沃勒 | 海倫芬 | 茲沃勒 | |
| -2.5 | 21.5% | 78.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.651+0.0% | 1.274+0.0% | 4.05-12.9% | 1.166-8.5% |
| -2 | 25.2% | 74.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83-3.4% | 1.292-3.4% | — | — | 3.34-15.8% | 1.24-7.3% |
| -1.75 | 32.7% | 67.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.95-3.6% | 1.433-3.6% | — | — | — | — |
| -1.5 | 38.7% | 61.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.5-3.4% | 1.585-2.8% | 2.597+0.4% | 1.626-0.2% | 2.445-5.5% | 1.581-3.0% |
| -1.25 | 43.7% | 56.3% | — | — | — | — | 2.2-3.8% | 1.73-2.6% | 2.22-2.9% | 1.725-2.9% | — | — | — | — |
| -1 | 50.1% | 49.9% | 1.83-8.3% | 1.97-1.7% | 1.92-3.8% | 1.98-1.2% | 1.92-3.8% | 1.98-1.2% | 1.943-2.6% | 1.952-2.6% | — | — | 1.87-6.3% | 1.87-6.7% |
| -0.75 | 56.5% | 43.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.69-4.6% | 2.26-1.6% | 1.719-2.9% | 2.23-2.9% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.5 | 61.4% | 38.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.581-3.0% | 2.51-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.25 | 68.2% | 31.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.415-3.5% | 3.03-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 0 | 76.7% | 23.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.259-3.4% | 4.15-3.4% | — | — | — | — |
| +1.5 | 93.5% | 6.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.07+0.0% | 15.385+0.0% | 1.02-4.6% | 9-41.5% |
| +2.5 | 97.8% | 2.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.022-0.0% | 45.455-0.0% | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 96.4% | 3.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.037-0.0% | 27.778-0.0% | 1.018-1.9% | 20-28.0% |
| 1.5 | 85.3% | 14.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.138-2.9% | 6.25-8.1% | 1.163-0.8% | 7.143+5.0% | 1.082-7.7% | 5.5-19.1% |
| 2.5 | 66.4% | 33.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.448-3.8% | 2.85-4.2% | 1.504-0.1% | 2.985+0.3% | 1.38-8.4% | 2.64-11.3% |
| 2.75 | 62.4% | 37.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.546-3.5% | 2.57-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | 57.4% | 42.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.73-0.7% | 2.17-7.5% | 1.685-3.3% | 2.27-3.3% | — | — | 1.61-7.6% | 2.13-9.3% |
| 3.25 | 50.7% | 49.3% | 1.9-3.7% | 1.8-11.3% | 1.97-0.1% | 1.91-5.8% | 1.93-2.2% | 1.95-3.9% | 1.917-2.8% | 1.971-2.8% | — | — | — | — |
| 3.5 | 44.9% | 55.1% | 2.13-4.4% | 1.63-10.2% | — | — | 2.21-0.8% | 1.7-6.3% | 2.14-4.0% | 1.769-2.5% | 2.247+0.8% | 1.802-0.7% | 2.121-4.8% | 1.754-3.3% |
| 3.75 | 39.7% | 60.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.43-3.6% | 1.599-3.6% | — | — | — | — |
| 4.5 | 26.2% | 73.8% | 3.35-12.2% | 1.27-6.3% | — | — | — | — | 3.57-6.5% | 1.314-3.0% | 3.922+2.8% | 1.342-1.0% | 3.24-15.1% | 1.26-7.0% |
| 5.5 | 13.5% | 86.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.64-10.4% | 1.126-2.6% | 8.0+8.0% | 1.143-1.1% | 5.8-21.7% | 1.071-7.4% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。