義甲｜2026-08-22（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 烏迪內斯 | 和 | 科莫 | 烏迪內斯 | 和 | 科莫 | 烏迪內斯 | 和 | 科莫 | 烏迪內斯 | 和 | 科莫 | 烏迪內斯 | 和 | 科莫 | 烏迪內斯 | 和 | 科莫 | 烏迪內斯 | 和 | 科莫 | |
| 勝負 | 19.8% | 27.6% | 52.6% | 4.5-11.0% | 3.25-10.3% | 1.66-12.7% | 4.35-14.0% | 3.55-2.0% | 1.84-3.2% | 3.09-38.9% | 7.3 | 1.51-20.5% | 4.83-4.5% | 3.49-3.6% | 1.87-1.6% | 5.128+1.4% | 3.636+0.4% | 1.869-1.7% | 4.96-2.0% | 3.58-1.1% | 1.872-1.5% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 烏迪內斯 | 科莫 | 烏迪內斯 | 科莫 | 烏迪內斯 | 科莫 | 烏迪內斯 | 科莫 | 烏迪內斯 | 科莫 | 烏迪內斯 | 科莫 | 烏迪內斯 | 科莫 | |
| -2.5 | 1.4% | 98.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 74.074+0.0% | 1.014+0.0% | — | — |
| -1.5 | 5.8% | 94.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17.094-0.0% | 1.062-0.0% | 11-35.7% | 1.01-4.9% |
| -0.5 | 20.4% | 79.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.77-2.9% | 1.219-2.9% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.25 | 23.5% | 76.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13-3.0% | 1.267-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 0 | 27.7% | 72.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.51-2.6% | 1.348-2.6% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.25 | 39.3% | 60.7% | — | — | — | — | 2.53-0.6% | 1.59-3.5% | 2.48-2.5% | 1.606-2.5% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.5 | 47.7% | 52.3% | — | — | 2.06-1.8% | 1.84-3.7% | 2.08-0.8% | 1.86-2.7% | 2.06-1.8% | 1.877-1.8% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.75 | 54.5% | 45.5% | 1.79-2.5% | 2.04-7.2% | — | — | 1.85+0.8% | 2.09-4.9% | 1.787-2.6% | 2.14-2.6% | — | — | — | — |
| +1 | 63.4% | 36.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.55-1.7% | 2.63-3.8% | 1.535-2.7% | 2.66-2.7% | — | — | 1.53-3.0% | 2.51-8.2% |
| +1.25 | 68.5% | 31.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.415-3.1% | 3.07-3.1% | — | — | — | — |
| +1.5 | 72.4% | 27.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.84 | 2.0-44.8% | 1.341-2.9% | 3.5-3.4% | 1.379-0.2% | 3.636+0.4% | 1.341-2.9% | 3.71+2.4% |
| +2.5 | 88.5% | 11.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.13+0.0% | 8.696+0.0% | 1.055-6.6% | 6.35-27.0% |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 91.5% | 8.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.093+0.0% | 11.765+0.0% | 1.023-6.4% | 7.8-33.7% |
| 1.25 | 78.0% | 22.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.237-3.5% | 4.39-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 1.5 | 71.0% | 29.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.369-2.8% | 3.27-5.1% | 1.399-0.7% | 3.509+1.8% | 1.33-5.6% | 3-13.0% |
| 1.75 | 66.3% | 33.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.461-3.1% | 2.88-3.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | 60.6% | 39.4% | — | — | — | — | 1.62-1.9% | 2.42-4.6% | 1.602-3.0% | 2.46-3.0% | — | — | 1.56-5.5% | 2.31-8.9% |
| 2.25 | 51.5% | 48.5% | 1.85-4.7% | 1.85-10.3% | 1.92-1.1% | 1.96-4.9% | 1.92-1.1% | 2.0-3.0% | 1.893-2.5% | 2.01-2.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 2.5 | 45.2% | 54.8% | 2.12-4.2% | 1.64-10.1% | — | — | 2.21-0.1% | 1.74-4.6% | 2.16-2.4% | 1.758-3.6% | 2.198-0.7% | 1.835+0.6% | 2.173-1.8% | 1.802-1.2% |
| 2.75 | 38.5% | 61.5% | — | — | — | — | 2.56-1.4% | 1.56-4.1% | 2.52-3.0% | 1.578-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | 30.6% | 69.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.15-3.5% | 1.391-3.5% | — | — | 2.96-9.3% | 1.36-5.7% |
| 3.25 | 27.3% | 72.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54-3.5% | 1.326-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 3.5 | 23.5% | 76.5% | 3.8-10.7% | 1.21-7.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.255-0.0% | 1.307-0.0% | 3.6-15.4% | 1.24-5.1% |
| 4.5 | 10.5% | 89.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9.524-0.0% | 1.117-0.0% | 6.9-27.6% | 1.041-6.8% |
| 5.5 | 3.8% | 96.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26.316+0.0% | 1.04+0.0% | 15.5-41.1% | 1.025-1.4% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。