義甲｜2026-08-22（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 熱那亞 | 和 | 拿坡里 | 熱那亞 | 和 | 拿坡里 | 熱那亞 | 和 | 拿坡里 | 熱那亞 | 和 | 拿坡里 | 熱那亞 | 和 | 拿坡里 | 熱那亞 | 和 | 拿坡里 | 熱那亞 | 和 | 拿坡里 | |
| 勝負 | 22.1% | 30.9% | 47.1% | 4.05-10.7% | 3.05-5.8% | 1.79-15.8% | 3.65-19.5% | 4.15+28.2% | 1.64-22.8% | 3.28-27.7% | 7.4 | 1.47-30.8% | 4.36-3.9% | 3.15-2.7% | 2.07-2.6% | 4.651+2.6% | 3.279+1.3% | 2.151+1.2% | 4.43-2.3% | 3.13-3.3% | 2.127+0.1% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 熱那亞 | 拿坡里 | 熱那亞 | 拿坡里 | 熱那亞 | 拿坡里 | 熱那亞 | 拿坡里 | 熱那亞 | 拿坡里 | 熱那亞 | 拿坡里 | 熱那亞 | 拿坡里 | |
| -2.5 | 1.5% | 98.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 66.667-0.0% | 1.015-0.0% | — | — |
| -1.5 | 6.5% | 93.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.385+0.0% | 1.07+0.0% | 10-35.0% | 1.02-4.6% |
| -0.5 | 22.5% | 77.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.32-2.9% | 1.252-2.9% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.25 | 26.4% | 73.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.67-3.1% | 1.317-3.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 0 | 32.0% | 68.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.04-2.6% | 1.433-2.6% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.25 | 44.3% | 55.7% | — | — | — | — | 2.23-1.1% | 1.75-2.6% | 2.2-2.5% | 1.752-2.5% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.5 | 52.9% | 47.1% | — | — | — | — | 1.83-3.3% | 2.12-0.1% | 1.855-1.9% | 2.08-1.9% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.75 | 60.4% | 39.6% | 1.65-0.3% | 2.26-10.5% | 1.95+17.8% | 1.87-25.9% | 1.63-1.6% | 2.44-3.4% | 1.613-2.6% | 2.46-2.6% | — | — | — | — |
| +1 | 70.1% | 29.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.388-2.6% | 3.26-2.6% | — | — | 1.31-8.1% | 3.1-7.4% |
| +1.25 | 74.2% | 25.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.307-3.0% | 3.76-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +1.5 | 77.9% | 22.1% | — | — | — | — | 1.91 | 1.93-57.3% | 1.256-2.2% | 4.27-5.6% | 1.274-0.8% | 4.651+2.9% | 1.181-8.0% | 3.96-12.4% |
| +2.5 | 92.5% | 7.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.081-0.0% | 13.333-0.0% | 1.004-7.1% | 9.1-31.8% |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 88.5% | 11.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.13+0.0% | 8.696+0.0% | 1.057-6.5% | 6.25-28.1% |
| 1 | 83.0% | 17.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.157-4.0% | 5.64-4.0% | — | — | 1.114-7.6% | 5-14.9% |
| 1.25 | 72.4% | 27.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.325-4.1% | 3.47-4.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 1.5 | 64.4% | 35.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.498-3.5% | 2.7-3.9% | 1.55-0.2% | 2.817+0.3% | 1.46-6.0% | 2.5-11.0% |
| 1.75 | 58.9% | 41.1% | — | — | — | — | 1.67-1.7% | 2.33-4.2% | 1.641-3.4% | 2.35-3.4% | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | 51.4% | 48.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.99+2.3% | 1.93-6.2% | 1.901-2.3% | 2.01-2.3% | — | — | 1.86-4.4% | 1.87-9.1% |
| 2.25 | 43.4% | 56.6% | 1.97-14.5% | 1.74-1.5% | — | — | 2.23-3.2% | 1.73-2.1% | 2.23-3.2% | 1.709-3.2% | — | — | — | — |
| 2.5 | 37.6% | 62.4% | 2.27-14.6% | 1.56-2.7% | — | — | 2.58-2.9% | 1.55-3.3% | 2.55-4.1% | 1.546-3.6% | 2.667+0.3% | 1.6-0.2% | 2.657-0.0% | 1.565-2.4% |
| 2.75 | 31.4% | 68.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05-4.2% | 1.397-4.2% | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | 23.5% | 76.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08-4.1% | 1.253-4.1% | — | — | 4.05-4.8% | 1.21-7.4% |
| 3.5 | 18.5% | 81.5% | 4.05-25.1% | 1.18-3.8% | 2.0-63.0% | 1.8 | — | — | — | — | 5.405-0.0% | 1.227-0.0% | 4.85-10.3% | 1.139-7.2% |
| 4.5 | 6.5% | 93.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.385+0.0% | 1.07+0.0% | 10.5-31.7% | 1.02-4.6% |
| 5.5 | 2.3% | 97.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 42.553-0.0% | 1.024-0.0% | 20-53.0% | 1.01-1.4% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。