荷甲・同日第 2 場｜2026-08-23（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV燕豪芬 | 和 | 格羅寧根 | PSV燕豪芬 | 和 | 格羅寧根 | PSV燕豪芬 | 和 | 格羅寧根 | PSV燕豪芬 | 和 | 格羅寧根 | PSV燕豪芬 | 和 | 格羅寧根 | PSV燕豪芬 | 和 | 格羅寧根 | PSV燕豪芬 | 和 | 格羅寧根 | PSV燕豪芬 | 和 | 格羅寧根 | |
| 勝負 | 73.8% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 1.19-12.2% | 5.9-10.1% | 7.75-14.7% | 1.31-3.4% | 6.2-5.5% | 7.5-17.4% | 1.19-12.2% | 10.5 | 5.5-39.4% | 1.309-3.5% | 6.3-4.0% | 8.2-9.7% | 1.325-2.3% | 6.452-1.7% | 9.524+4.9% | 1.297-4.3% | 6.3-4.0% | 8.9-2.0% | 1.3-4.1% | 5.5-16.2% | 9.0-0.9% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV燕豪芬 | 格羅寧根 | PSV燕豪芬 | 格羅寧根 | PSV燕豪芬 | 格羅寧根 | PSV燕豪芬 | 格羅寧根 | PSV燕豪芬 | 格羅寧根 | PSV燕豪芬 | 格羅寧根 | PSV燕豪芬 | 格羅寧根 | PSV燕豪芬 | 格羅寧根 | |
| -2.75 | 29.3% | 70.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28-3.9% | 1.36-3.9% | — | — | — | — | 3.1-9.1% | 1.35-4.6% |
| -2.5 | 34.6% | 65.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.77-4.2% | 1.472-3.7% | 2.899+0.3% | 1.527-0.1% | 2.52-12.8% | 1.41-7.8% | 2.675-7.4% | 1.45-5.2% |
| -2.25 | 38.4% | 61.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51-3.6% | 1.565-3.6% | — | — | — | — | 2.425-6.9% | 1.525-6.1% |
| -2 | 43.0% | 57.0% | — | — | — | — | 2.25-3.4% | 1.7-3.0% | 2.25-3.4% | 1.694-3.4% | — | — | 2.09-10.2% | 1.615-7.9% | 2.2-5.5% | 1.65-5.9% |
| -1.75 | 49.1% | 50.9% | 1.92-5.8% | 1.88-4.3% | 2.02-0.8% | 1.88-4.3% | 1.94-4.8% | 1.96-0.2% | 1.98-2.8% | 1.909-2.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.925-5.5% | 1.875-4.5% |
| -1.5 | 54.3% | 45.7% | — | — | — | — | 1.76-4.4% | 2.16-1.3% | 1.787-2.9% | 2.11-3.6% | 1.835-0.3% | 2.198+0.4% | 1.773-3.7% | 2.094-4.4% | 1.75-4.9% | 2.05-6.4% |
| -1.25 | 60.1% | 39.9% | 1.67+0.4% | 2.18-13.0% | — | — | — | — | 1.606-3.5% | 2.42-3.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.6-3.8% | 2.3-8.3% |
| -1 | 67.5% | 32.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.422-3.9% | 2.96-3.9% | — | — | 1.36-8.1% | 2.75-10.8% | 1.425-3.7% | 2.75-10.8% |
| -0.75 | 71.1% | 28.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.352-3.9% | 3.32-3.9% | — | — | — | — | 1.35-4.1% | 3.1-10.3% |
| +1.5 | 96.4% | 3.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.037+0.0% | 28.169+0.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +2.5 | 98.9% | 1.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.011+0.0% | 95.238+0.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 98.3% | 1.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.017+0.0% | 60.606+0.0% | 1.01-0.7% | 26-57.1% | 1.006-1.1% | 29.0-52.1% |
| 1.5 | 91.5% | 8.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.093+0.0% | 11.765+0.0% | 1.012-7.4% | 8.5-27.7% | 1.071-2.0% | 9.0-23.5% |
| 2.5 | 76.8% | 23.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.256-3.5% | 4.0-7.2% | 1.29-0.9% | 4.444+3.1% | 1.2-7.8% | 3.7-14.2% | 1.3-0.2% | 3.5-18.8% |
| 3.25 | 63.3% | 36.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.518-3.9% | 2.62-3.9% | — | — | — | — | 1.525-3.4% | 2.425-11.0% |
| 3.5 | 57.3% | 42.7% | 1.61-7.7% | 2.17-7.4% | — | — | 1.66-4.8% | 2.28-2.7% | 1.685-3.4% | 2.25-4.0% | 1.739-0.3% | 2.353+0.4% | 1.683-3.5% | 2.234-4.7% | 1.727-1.0% | 2.0-14.7% |
| 3.75 | 52.6% | 47.4% | 1.75-8.0% | 1.95-7.5% | — | — | 1.8-5.4% | 2.08-1.4% | 1.84-3.3% | 2.04-3.3% | — | — | — | — | 1.8-5.4% | 2.0-5.2% |
| 4 | 46.9% | 53.1% | — | — | 2.01-5.7% | 1.87-0.8% | 2.07-2.8% | 1.81-3.9% | 2.05-3.8% | 1.813-3.8% | — | — | 1.94-9.0% | 1.74-7.7% | 2.05-3.8% | 1.75-7.1% |
| 4.25 | 41.9% | 58.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.29-4.0% | 1.654-4.0% | — | — | — | — | 2.3-3.5% | 1.6-7.1% |
| 4.5 | 37.7% | 62.3% | 2.43-8.3% | 1.49-7.2% | — | — | — | — | 2.52-4.9% | 1.541-4.0% | 2.667+0.6% | 1.6-0.4% | 2.34-11.7% | 1.48-7.8% | 2.625-1.0% | 1.444-10.1% |
| 5.5 | 22.1% | 77.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.2-7.0% | 1.239-3.5% | 4.651+3.0% | 1.274-0.8% | 3.86-14.5% | 1.181-8.0% | 4.333-4.1% | 1.2-6.6% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。