義甲｜2026-08-23（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 亞特蘭大 | 和 | 薩索洛 | 亞特蘭大 | 和 | 薩索洛 | 亞特蘭大 | 和 | 薩索洛 | 亞特蘭大 | 和 | 薩索洛 | 亞特蘭大 | 和 | 薩索洛 | 亞特蘭大 | 和 | 薩索洛 | 亞特蘭大 | 和 | 薩索洛 | 亞特蘭大 | 和 | 薩索洛 | |
| 勝負 | 62.5% | 22.2% | 15.4% | 1.39-13.2% | 4.15-7.9% | 5.8-11.0% | 1.53-4.4% | 4.5-0.1% | 5.6-14.0% | 1.26-21.3% | 9.0 | 4.69-28.0% | 1.549-3.2% | 4.35-3.5% | 6.26-3.9% | 1.575-1.6% | 4.444-1.4% | 6.452-1.0% | 1.576-1.6% | 4.45-1.3% | 6.39-1.9% | 1.533-4.2% | 4.2-6.8% | 6.0-7.9% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 亞特蘭大 | 薩索洛 | 亞特蘭大 | 薩索洛 | 亞特蘭大 | 薩索洛 | 亞特蘭大 | 薩索洛 | 亞特蘭大 | 薩索洛 | 亞特蘭大 | 薩索洛 | 亞特蘭大 | 薩索洛 | 亞特蘭大 | 薩索洛 | |
| -2.5 | 19.0% | 81.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5.263+0.0% | 1.235+0.0% | 4.1-22.1% | 1.161-6.0% | 4.5-14.5% | 1.19-3.6% |
| -2 | 24.2% | 75.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01-3.0% | 1.28-3.0% | — | — | 3.5-15.3% | 1.24-6.0% | 3.7-10.5% | 1.26-4.5% |
| -1.75 | 32.2% | 67.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01-3.1% | 1.429-3.1% | — | — | — | — | 2.85-8.3% | 1.4-5.1% |
| -1.5 | 38.6% | 61.4% | — | — | — | — | 2.47-4.7% | 1.62-0.5% | 2.52-2.8% | 1.588-2.5% | 2.597+0.2% | 1.626-0.1% | 2.491-3.9% | 1.629+0.1% | 2.375-8.4% | 1.55-4.8% |
| -1.25 | 43.9% | 56.1% | — | — | — | — | 2.2-3.5% | 1.77-0.6% | 2.22-2.6% | 1.735-2.6% | — | — | — | — | 2.15-5.7% | 1.675-6.0% |
| -1 | 50.9% | 49.1% | 1.83-6.8% | 1.99-2.4% | 1.89-3.7% | 2.01-1.4% | 1.89-3.7% | 2.05+0.6% | 1.926-1.9% | 2.0-1.9% | — | — | 1.86-5.2% | 1.94-4.8% | 1.9-3.2% | 1.95-4.3% |
| -0.75 | 57.6% | 42.4% | — | — | — | — | 1.69-2.6% | 2.33-1.3% | 1.69-2.6% | 2.3-2.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.65-4.9% | 2.2-6.8% |
| -0.5 | 62.8% | 37.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.549-2.7% | 2.62-2.7% | — | — | — | — | 1.525-4.2% | 2.425-9.9% |
| -0.25 | 70.4% | 29.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.376-3.1% | 3.28-3.1% | — | — | — | — | 1.35-4.9% | 3.1-8.4% |
| 0 | 80.2% | 19.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.211-2.9% | 4.89-2.9% | — | — | — | — | 1.19-4.6% | 4.5-10.7% |
| +1.5 | 95.4% | 4.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.048+0.0% | 21.978+0.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +2.5 | 98.8% | 1.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.012-0.0% | 83.333-0.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 94.5% | 5.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.058-0.0% | 18.182-0.0% | 1.008-4.7% | 14-23.0% | 1.04-1.7% | 13.0-28.5% |
| 1.5 | 79.5% | 20.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.258+0.0% | 4.878+0.0% | 1.195-5.0% | 4.05-17.0% | 1.222-2.9% | 4.333-11.2% |
| 1.75 | 75.5% | 24.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.279-3.4% | 3.94-3.4% | — | — | — | — | 1.26-4.9% | 3.7-9.3% |
| 2 | 72.0% | 28.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.339-3.5% | 3.45-3.5% | — | — | 1.31-5.6% | 3.22-10.0% | 1.325-4.5% | 3.3-7.7% |
| 2.25 | 63.0% | 37.0% | — | — | — | — | 1.5-5.6% | 2.72+0.7% | 1.541-3.0% | 2.62-3.0% | — | — | — | — | 1.525-4.0% | 2.425-10.2% |
| 2.5 | 56.2% | 43.8% | 1.61-9.5% | 2.17-5.0% | — | — | 1.72-3.3% | 2.25-1.5% | 1.735-2.5% | 2.2-3.6% | 1.77-0.5% | 2.299+0.7% | 1.769-0.6% | 2.222-2.7% | 1.727-2.9% | 2.1-8.0% |
| 2.75 | 50.5% | 49.5% | 1.77-10.7% | 1.93-4.4% | 1.91-3.6% | 1.97-2.4% | 1.94-2.1% | 1.98-1.9% | 1.935-2.4% | 1.971-2.4% | — | — | — | — | 1.925-2.9% | 1.925-4.6% |
| 3 | 43.7% | 56.3% | — | — | — | — | 2.25-1.6% | 1.72-3.2% | 2.22-2.9% | 1.725-2.9% | — | — | 2.12-7.3% | 1.666-6.2% | 2.15-6.0% | 1.675-5.7% |
| 3.25 | 38.5% | 61.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.52-3.1% | 1.575-3.1% | — | — | — | — | 2.425-6.7% | 1.525-6.2% |
| 3.5 | 33.9% | 66.1% | 2.62-11.1% | 1.42-6.2% | — | — | — | — | 2.81-4.6% | 1.472-2.8% | 2.985+1.3% | 1.504-0.6% | 2.625-10.9% | 1.42-6.2% | 2.75-6.7% | 1.444-4.6% |
| 3.75 | 28.5% | 71.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38-3.5% | 1.35-3.5% | — | — | — | — | 3.3-5.8% | 1.325-5.3% |
| 4.5 | 17.5% | 82.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5.714-0.0% | 1.212-0.0% | 4.55-20.4% | 1.131-6.7% | 5.0-12.5% | 1.166-3.8% |
| 5.5 | 7.5% | 92.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.333-0.0% | 1.081-0.0% | 8.2-38.5% | 1.017-5.9% | 10.0-25.0% | 1.062-1.8% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。