荷甲・同日第 2 場｜2026-08-23（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 前進之鷹 | 和 | 海牙 | 前進之鷹 | 和 | 海牙 | 前進之鷹 | 和 | 海牙 | 前進之鷹 | 和 | 海牙 | 前進之鷹 | 和 | 海牙 | 前進之鷹 | 和 | 海牙 | 前進之鷹 | 和 | 海牙 | 前進之鷹 | 和 | 海牙 | |
| 勝負 | 56.8% | 22.8% | 20.4% | 1.54-12.5% | 4.0-8.9% | 4.15-15.3% | 1.72-2.3% | 4.2-4.3% | 4.2-14.3% | 1.49-15.4% | 8.0 | 3.1-36.7% | 1.73-1.7% | 4.21-4.1% | 4.55-7.1% | 1.739-1.2% | 4.444+1.2% | 5.128+4.7% | 1.73-1.7% | 4.17-5.0% | 4.46-9.0% | 1.7-3.4% | 4.0-8.9% | 4.75-3.0% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 前進之鷹 | 海牙 | 前進之鷹 | 海牙 | 前進之鷹 | 海牙 | 前進之鷹 | 海牙 | 前進之鷹 | 海牙 | 前進之鷹 | 海牙 | 前進之鷹 | 海牙 | 前進之鷹 | 海牙 | |
| -2.5 | 17.5% | 82.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5.714-0.0% | 1.212-0.0% | 4.6-19.5% | 1.128-6.9% | 5.25-8.1% | 1.16-4.3% |
| -1.75 | 28.6% | 71.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.38-3.5% | 1.351-3.5% | — | — | — | — | 3.3-5.8% | 1.325-5.3% |
| -1.5 | 34.5% | 65.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.89-34.8% | 1.95+27.8% | 2.8-3.5% | 1.472-3.6% | 2.899-0.0% | 1.527+0.1% | 2.71-6.6% | 1.487-2.6% | 2.75-5.2% | 1.425-6.6% |
| -1.25 | 38.6% | 61.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51-3.1% | 1.578-3.1% | — | — | — | — | 2.425-6.4% | 1.525-6.4% |
| -1 | 44.0% | 56.0% | — | — | — | — | 2.16-5.0% | 1.76-1.4% | 2.21-2.8% | 1.735-2.8% | — | — | 2.11-7.2% | 1.68-5.9% | 2.2-3.2% | 1.65-7.6% |
| -0.75 | 50.9% | 49.1% | 1.83-6.8% | 1.97-3.3% | 1.9-3.2% | 2.0-1.9% | 1.86-5.3% | 2.04+0.1% | 1.917-2.4% | 1.99-2.4% | — | — | — | — | 1.85-5.8% | 1.95-4.3% |
| -0.5 | 56.2% | 43.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.68-5.6% | 2.28-0.1% | 1.73-2.8% | 2.22-2.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.7-4.5% | 2.1-8.0% |
| -0.25 | 63.4% | 36.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.529-3.0% | 2.65-3.0% | — | — | — | — | 1.5-4.9% | 2.5-8.5% |
| 0 | 72.5% | 27.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.331-3.5% | 3.51-3.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.3-5.7% | 3.45-5.1% |
| +0.25 | 75.9% | 24.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.272-3.4% | 4.01-3.4% | — | — | — | — | 1.25-5.1% | 3.8-8.5% |
| +1.5 | 92.0% | 8.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.087+0.0% | 12.5+0.0% | 1.019-6.3% | 8.1-35.2% | — | — |
| +2.5 | 97.2% | 2.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.029+0.0% | 35.714+0.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 96.4% | 3.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.037-0.0% | 27.778-0.0% | 1.018-1.9% | 18.5-33.4% | 1.02-1.7% | 19.0-31.6% |
| 1.5 | 84.5% | 15.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.153-2.6% | 5.8-9.8% | 1.17-1.2% | 6.897+7.2% | 1.101-7.0% | 5.1-20.7% | 1.125-5.0% | 6.0-6.7% |
| 2.5 | 65.2% | 34.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.478-3.6% | 2.74-4.7% | 1.527-0.4% | 2.899+0.8% | 1.42-7.4% | 2.51-12.7% | 1.475-3.8% | 2.6-9.6% |
| 2.75 | 60.9% | 39.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.585-3.5% | 2.47-3.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.625-1.0% | 2.25-12.1% |
| 3 | 55.8% | 44.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.72-4.0% | 2.19-3.2% | 1.735-3.2% | 2.19-3.2% | — | — | 1.666-7.0% | 2.04-9.8% | — | — |
| 3.25 | 49.1% | 50.9% | 1.9-6.7% | 1.8-8.4% | 2.0-1.8% | 1.88-4.3% | 1.99-2.3% | 1.89-3.8% | 1.98-2.8% | 1.909-2.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.925-5.5% | 1.875-4.5% |
| 3.5 | 43.7% | 56.3% | 2.13-6.9% | 1.63-8.3% | — | — | 2.21-3.4% | 1.7-4.3% | 2.2-3.8% | 1.725-2.9% | 2.299+0.5% | 1.77-0.4% | 2.183-4.5% | 1.714-3.5% | 2.1-8.2% | 1.666-6.2% |
| 3.75 | 38.0% | 62.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.54-3.4% | 1.559-3.4% | — | — | — | — | 2.6-1.1% | 1.475-8.6% |
| 4.5 | 24.8% | 75.2% | 3.35-17.1% | 1.27-4.4% | — | — | — | — | 3.84-4.9% | 1.281-3.6% | 4.082+1.1% | 1.325-0.3% | 3.3-18.3% | 1.25-5.9% | 3.75-7.2% | 1.25-5.9% |
| 5.5 | 12.3% | 87.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7.38-9.4% | 1.109-2.7% | 8.696+6.8% | 1.13-0.9% | 5.8-28.8% | 1.071-6.1% | 6.5-20.2% | 1.111-2.5% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。