法甲・同日第 2 場｜2026-08-23（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 勒阿弗爾 | 和 | 摩納哥 | 勒阿弗爾 | 和 | 摩納哥 | 勒阿弗爾 | 和 | 摩納哥 | 勒阿弗爾 | 和 | 摩納哥 | 勒阿弗爾 | 和 | 摩納哥 | 勒阿弗爾 | 和 | 摩納哥 | 勒阿弗爾 | 和 | 摩納哥 | |
| 勝負 | 25.4% | 26.5% | 48.1% | 3.45-12.4% | 3.45-8.5% | 1.81-12.9% | 3.45-12.4% | 3.85+2.1% | 1.98-4.8% | 3.83-2.8% | 3.65-3.2% | 2.03-2.4% | 3.922-0.4% | 3.774+0.1% | 2.062-0.8% | 3.86-2.0% | 3.9+3.4% | 2.001-3.8% | 3.6-8.6% | 3.8+0.8% | 1.95-6.2% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 勒阿弗爾 | 摩納哥 | 勒阿弗爾 | 摩納哥 | 勒阿弗爾 | 摩納哥 | 勒阿弗爾 | 摩納哥 | 勒阿弗爾 | 摩納哥 | 勒阿弗爾 | 摩納哥 | 勒阿弗爾 | 摩納哥 | |
| -2.5 | 3.1% | 96.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32.258+0.0% | 1.032+0.0% | — | — | — | — |
| -1.5 | 9.5% | 90.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.526+0.0% | 1.105+0.0% | 7.9-24.9% | 1.021-7.6% | — | — |
| -0.5 | 25.6% | 74.4% | — | — | — | — | 3.79-3.0% | 1.303-3.0% | — | — | — | — | 3.45-11.7% | 1.3-3.3% |
| -0.25 | 29.4% | 70.6% | — | — | — | — | 3.3-3.1% | 1.372-3.1% | — | — | — | — | 3.1-9.0% | 1.35-4.6% |
| 0 | 34.5% | 65.5% | — | — | — | — | 2.82-2.7% | 1.485-2.7% | — | — | — | — | 2.75-5.1% | 1.425-6.7% |
| +0.25 | 44.4% | 55.6% | 2.16-4.1% | 1.71-5.0% | — | — | 2.2-2.3% | 1.758-2.3% | — | — | — | — | 2.2-2.3% | 1.65-8.3% |
| +0.5 | 51.9% | 48.1% | — | — | 1.92-0.4% | 1.98-4.7% | 1.893-1.8% | 2.04-1.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.9-1.4% | 1.95-6.1% |
| +0.75 | 58.3% | 41.7% | — | — | — | — | 1.671-2.5% | 2.34-2.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.7-0.8% | 2.1-12.5% |
| +1 | 66.8% | 33.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.459-2.6% | 2.93-2.6% | — | — | 1.43-4.5% | 2.83-5.9% | 1.5+0.1% | 2.5-16.9% |
| +1.25 | 70.8% | 29.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.369-3.1% | 3.32-3.1% | — | — | — | — | 1.4-0.9% | 2.85-16.8% |
| +1.5 | 74.2% | 25.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.311-2.7% | 3.73-4.0% | 1.342-0.4% | 3.922+1.0% | 1.25-7.2% | 3.56-8.3% | 1.325-1.6% | 3.3-15.0% |
| +2.5 | 89.5% | 10.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.117-0.0% | 9.524-0.0% | 1.031-7.7% | 7.4-22.3% | 1.115-0.2% | 6.4-32.8% |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 93.5% | 6.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.07+0.0% | 15.385+0.0% | 1.001-6.4% | 12.9-16.1% | 1.03-3.7% | 15.0-2.5% |
| 1.5 | 77.5% | 22.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.29-0.0% | 4.444-0.0% | 1.21-6.2% | 3.84-13.6% | 1.222-5.3% | 4.333-2.5% |
| 1.75 | 73.8% | 26.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.308-3.5% | 3.68-3.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.25-7.8% | 3.8-0.4% |
| 2 | 69.8% | 30.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.382-3.5% | 3.2-3.5% | — | — | 1.35-5.7% | 2.98-10.1% | 1.3-9.2% | 3.45+4.1% |
| 2.25 | 60.4% | 39.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.606-3.0% | 2.45-3.0% | — | — | — | — | 1.5-9.4% | 2.5-1.0% |
| 2.5 | 53.4% | 46.6% | 1.66-11.4% | 2.08-3.0% | — | — | 1.826-2.5% | 2.08-3.0% | 1.869-0.2% | 2.151+0.3% | 1.858-0.8% | 2.096-2.3% | 1.615-13.8% | 2.3+7.2% |
| 2.75 | 47.7% | 52.3% | 1.85-11.7% | 1.85-3.3% | — | — | 2.05-2.2% | 1.87-2.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.95-7.0% | 1.9-0.6% |
| 3 | 40.7% | 59.3% | — | — | 2.01-18.2% | 1.87+10.9% | 2.39-2.7% | 1.641-2.7% | — | — | 2.3-6.4% | 1.56-7.5% | 2.1-14.5% | 1.7+0.8% |
| 3.25 | 35.9% | 64.1% | — | — | — | — | 2.7-3.0% | 1.513-3.0% | — | — | — | — | 2.375-14.7% | 1.55-0.7% |
| 3.5 | 31.9% | 68.1% | 2.7-13.9% | 1.39-5.3% | — | — | 2.99-4.6% | 1.426-2.9% | 3.175+1.3% | 1.46-0.6% | 2.88-8.1% | 1.35-8.1% | 2.75-12.3% | 1.444-1.7% |
| 3.75 | 26.6% | 73.4% | — | — | — | — | 3.62-3.5% | 1.315-3.5% | — | — | — | — | 3.1-17.4% | 1.35-1.0% |
| 4.5 | 15.5% | 84.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.452-0.0% | 1.183-0.0% | 5.4-16.3% | 1.087-8.1% | 5.0-22.5% | 1.166-1.5% |
| 5.5 | 6.5% | 93.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.385+0.0% | 1.07+0.0% | 10.5-31.7% | 1.02-4.6% | 10.0-35.0% | 1.062-0.7% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。