西甲｜2026-08-23（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 埃爾切 | 和 | 巴塞隆納 | 埃爾切 | 和 | 巴塞隆納 | 埃爾切 | 和 | 巴塞隆納 | 埃爾切 | 和 | 巴塞隆納 | 埃爾切 | 和 | 巴塞隆納 | 埃爾切 | 和 | 巴塞隆納 | 埃爾切 | 和 | 巴塞隆納 | 埃爾切 | 和 | 巴塞隆納 | |
| 勝負 | 11.0% | 17.0% | 71.9% | 8.25-8.9% | 5.4-8.0% | 1.21-13.0% | 7.9-12.7% | 5.6-4.6% | 1.33-4.4% | 4.33-52.2% | 8.8 | 1.29-7.2% | 8.4-7.2% | 5.54-5.6% | 1.366-1.8% | 9.524+5.2% | 6.061+3.3% | 1.379-0.8% | 9.52+5.2% | 1.29-78.0% | 5.01 | 7.5-17.2% | 5.5-6.3% | 1.363-2.0% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | Bet365 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 埃爾切 | 巴塞隆納 | 埃爾切 | 巴塞隆納 | 埃爾切 | 巴塞隆納 | 埃爾切 | 巴塞隆納 | 埃爾切 | 巴塞隆納 | 埃爾切 | 巴塞隆納 | 埃爾切 | 巴塞隆納 | |
| -2.5 | 0.8% | 99.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 133.333+0.0% | 1.008+0.0% | — | — |
| -1.5 | 3.1% | 96.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32.258+0.0% | 1.032+0.0% | — | — |
| +0.5 | 28.6% | 71.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.39-3.1% | 1.357-3.1% | — | — | 3.1-11.4% | 1.35-3.6% |
| +0.75 | 32.1% | 67.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.02-3.1% | 1.427-3.1% | — | — | 2.75-11.8% | 1.425-3.2% |
| +1 | 36.7% | 63.3% | — | — | — | — | 2.63-3.4% | 1.55-1.9% | 2.65-2.7% | 1.538-2.7% | — | — | 2.425-10.9% | 1.525-3.5% |
| +1.25 | 44.7% | 55.3% | — | — | — | — | 2.19-2.1% | 1.78-1.6% | 2.18-2.5% | 1.763-2.5% | — | — | 2.05-8.3% | 1.75-3.2% |
| +1.5 | 50.7% | 49.3% | — | — | 1.98+0.4% | 1.92-5.4% | 1.95-1.1% | 1.99-1.9% | 1.926-2.3% | 2.0-1.4% | 1.98+0.4% | 2.02-0.5% | 1.85-6.2% | 2.0-1.4% |
| +1.75 | 56.9% | 43.1% | 1.74-0.9% | 2.11-9.1% | — | — | 1.73-1.5% | 2.26-2.7% | 1.709-2.7% | 2.26-2.7% | — | — | 1.65-6.0% | 2.2-5.3% |
| +2 | 64.6% | 35.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.508-2.6% | 2.75-2.6% | — | — | 1.475-4.7% | 2.6-7.9% |
| +2.25 | 68.7% | 31.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.412-3.0% | 3.1-3.0% | — | — | 1.375-5.5% | 3.0-6.1% |
| +2.5 | 72.2% | 27.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.97 | 1.87-48.1% | 1.347-2.7% | 3.46-4.0% | 1.379-0.4% | 3.636+0.9% | 1.325-4.3% | 3.3-8.4% |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 96.6% | 3.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.035+0.0% | 29.851+0.0% | 3.425 | 1.288-95.7% | 1.015-1.9% | 21.0-29.6% |
| 1.5 | 85.5% | 14.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.17+0.0% | 6.897+0.0% | — | — | 1.142-2.4% | 5.5-20.2% |
| 2.25 | 70.5% | 29.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.36-4.1% | 3.25-4.1% | — | — | — | — | 1.325-6.6% | 3.3-2.6% |
| 2.5 | 64.6% | 35.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.505-2.8% | 2.64-6.5% | 1.527-1.4% | 2.899+2.6% | — | — | 1.444-6.7% | 2.75-2.6% |
| 2.75 | 59.4% | 40.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.63-3.2% | 2.4-2.5% | 1.621-3.7% | 2.37-3.7% | — | — | — | — | 1.55-8.0% | 2.375-3.5% |
| 3 | 53.9% | 46.1% | — | — | — | — | 1.8-2.9% | 2.13-1.9% | 1.794-3.3% | 2.1-3.3% | — | — | — | — | 1.675-9.7% | 2.15-0.9% |
| 3.25 | 47.4% | 52.6% | 1.87-11.4% | 1.83-3.7% | 1.96-7.1% | 1.92+1.0% | 2.05-2.9% | 1.87-1.6% | 2.06-2.4% | 1.855-2.4% | — | — | — | — | 1.975-6.4% | 1.875-1.3% |
| 3.5 | 41.9% | 58.1% | 2.1-12.1% | 1.65-4.1% | — | — | 2.29-4.1% | 1.69-1.8% | 2.29-4.1% | 1.676-2.6% | 2.41+0.9% | 1.709-0.7% | — | — | 2.1-12.1% | 1.727+0.4% |
| 3.75 | 36.3% | 63.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.65-3.7% | 1.513-3.7% | — | — | — | — | 2.375-13.7% | 1.55-1.3% |
| 4 | 29.2% | 70.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28-4.1% | 1.355-4.1% | — | — | — | — | 2.85-16.7% | 1.4-0.9% |
| 4.25 | 26.4% | 73.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63-4.2% | 1.302-4.2% | — | — | — | — | 3.3-12.9% | 1.325-2.5% |
| 4.5 | 23.5% | 76.5% | 3.45-18.9% | 1.25-4.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.255-0.0% | 1.307-0.0% | — | — | 3.5-17.8% | 1.3-0.5% |
| 5.5 | 11.5% | 88.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8.696+0.0% | 1.13+0.0% | — | — | 6.0-31.0% | 1.125-0.4% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。