義甲｜2026-08-23（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 弗羅西諾內 | 和 | 尤文圖斯 | 弗羅西諾內 | 和 | 尤文圖斯 | 弗羅西諾內 | 和 | 尤文圖斯 | 弗羅西諾內 | 和 | 尤文圖斯 | 弗羅西諾內 | 和 | 尤文圖斯 | 弗羅西諾內 | 和 | 尤文圖斯 | 弗羅西諾內 | 和 | 尤文圖斯 | 弗羅西諾內 | 和 | 尤文圖斯 | |
| 勝負 | 12.6% | 20.5% | 66.9% | 7.5-5.2% | 4.55-6.8% | 1.28-14.4% | 6.4-19.1% | 4.6-5.8% | 1.47-1.7% | 3.53-55.4% | 8.0 | 1.4-6.4% | 7.52-5.0% | 4.69-3.9% | 1.45-3.0% | 8.0+1.1% | 4.878-0.1% | 1.481-1.0% | 7.42-6.2% | 4.83-1.0% | 1.485-0.7% | 7.5-5.2% | 4.333-11.2% | 1.444-3.4% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 弗羅西諾內 | 尤文圖斯 | 弗羅西諾內 | 尤文圖斯 | 弗羅西諾內 | 尤文圖斯 | 弗羅西諾內 | 尤文圖斯 | 弗羅西諾內 | 尤文圖斯 | 弗羅西諾內 | 尤文圖斯 | 弗羅西諾內 | 尤文圖斯 | 弗羅西諾內 | 尤文圖斯 | |
| -2.5 | 0.9% | 99.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 117.647+0.0% | 1.009+0.0% | — | — | — | — |
| -1.5 | 3.6% | 96.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 28.169+0.0% | 1.037+0.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.25 | 25.5% | 74.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81-3.0% | 1.301-3.0% | — | — | — | — | 3.45-12.2% | 1.3-3.1% |
| +0.5 | 32.9% | 67.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.94-3.2% | 1.444-3.2% | — | — | — | — | 2.675-11.9% | 1.45-2.8% |
| +0.75 | 37.3% | 62.7% | — | — | — | — | 2.61-2.7% | 1.56-2.2% | 2.61-2.7% | 1.552-2.7% | — | — | — | — | 2.375-11.4% | 1.55-2.8% |
| +1 | 43.1% | 56.9% | — | — | — | — | 2.31-0.5% | 1.7-3.2% | 2.26-2.7% | 1.709-2.7% | — | — | 2.19-5.7% | 1.68-4.3% | 2.075-10.7% | 1.725-1.8% |
| +1.25 | 50.7% | 49.3% | 1.95-1.1% | 1.87-7.8% | 1.84-6.7% | 2.06+1.6% | 1.97-0.1% | 1.97-2.9% | 1.935-1.9% | 1.99-1.9% | — | — | — | — | 1.825-7.5% | 2.025-0.2% |
| +1.5 | 56.6% | 43.4% | — | — | — | — | 1.74-1.5% | 2.25-2.3% | 1.719-2.7% | 2.25-2.3% | 1.77+0.2% | 2.299-0.2% | 1.749-1.0% | 2.255-2.1% | 1.625-8.0% | 2.25-2.3% |
| +1.75 | 63.1% | 36.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.543-2.6% | 2.64-2.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.475-6.9% | 2.6-4.1% |
| +2 | 71.0% | 29.0% | — | — | — | — | 1.85 | 1.99-42.3% | 1.365-3.1% | 3.34-3.1% | — | — | 1.333-5.4% | 3.02-12.4% | 1.325-5.9% | 3.3-4.3% |
| +2.25 | 74.2% | 25.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.307-3.0% | 3.76-3.0% | — | — | — | — | 1.275-5.4% | 3.55-8.4% |
| +2.5 | 77.5% | 22.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.29-0.0% | 4.444-0.0% | 1.23-4.7% | 3.58-19.5% | 1.23-4.7% | 4.0-10.0% |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 95.0% | 5.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.053+0.0% | 20.0+0.0% | 1.007-4.3% | 16-20.0% | 1.04-1.2% | 13.0-35.0% |
| 1.5 | 80.5% | 19.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.242-0.0% | 5.128-0.0% | 1.18-5.0% | 4.4-14.2% | 1.222-1.6% | 4.333-15.5% |
| 2 | 74.4% | 25.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.297-3.5% | 3.77-3.5% | — | — | 1.28-4.8% | 3.54-9.4% | 1.3-3.3% | 3.45-11.7% |
| 2.25 | 65.3% | 34.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.476-3.6% | 2.78-3.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.5-2.0% | 2.5-13.3% |
| 2.5 | 58.4% | 41.6% | 1.63-4.7% | 2.13-11.5% | — | — | 1.65-3.6% | 2.36-1.9% | 1.662-2.9% | 2.33-3.2% | 1.709-0.1% | 2.41+0.2% | 1.701-0.6% | 2.34-2.7% | 1.727+0.9% | 2.1-12.7% |
| 2.75 | 53.3% | 46.7% | 1.8-4.0% | 1.9-11.3% | 1.99+6.1% | 1.89-11.8% | 1.81-3.5% | 2.12-1.1% | 1.82-2.9% | 2.08-2.9% | — | — | — | — | 1.85-1.3% | 2.0-6.7% |
| 3 | 46.7% | 53.3% | — | — | — | — | 2.11-1.4% | 1.82-3.0% | 2.09-2.3% | 1.833-2.3% | — | — | 1.99-7.0% | 1.78-5.2% | 2.1-1.9% | 1.7-9.4% |
| 3.25 | 41.1% | 58.9% | — | — | — | — | 2.36-2.9% | 1.65-2.9% | 2.36-2.9% | 1.649-2.9% | — | — | — | — | 2.375-2.3% | 1.55-8.8% |
| 3.5 | 36.1% | 63.9% | 2.65-4.3% | 1.41-9.9% | — | — | — | — | 2.64-4.7% | 1.532-2.1% | 2.817+1.7% | 1.55-1.0% | 2.47-10.8% | 1.49-4.8% | 2.75-0.7% | 1.444-7.7% |
| 3.75 | 30.8% | 69.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13-3.5% | 1.395-3.5% | — | — | — | — | 3.1-4.4% | 1.35-6.6% |
| 4 | 23.7% | 76.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08-3.5% | 1.264-3.5% | — | — | 3.64-13.9% | 1.23-6.1% | 4.1-3.0% | 1.225-6.5% |
| 4.5 | 18.5% | 81.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5.405-0.0% | 1.227-0.0% | 4.25-21.4% | 1.16-5.5% | 5.0-7.5% | 1.166-5.0% |
| 5.5 | 8.5% | 91.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.765+0.0% | 1.093+0.0% | 7.5-36.2% | 1.029-5.8% | 10.0-15.0% | 1.062-2.8% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。