中超・同日第 2 場｜2026-08-23（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | Bet365 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 遼寧鐵人 | 和 | 河南 | 遼寧鐵人 | 和 | 河南 | 遼寧鐵人 | 和 | 河南 | 遼寧鐵人 | 和 | 河南 | 遼寧鐵人 | 和 | 河南 | 遼寧鐵人 | 和 | 河南 | |
| 勝負 | 32.5% | 26.5% | 41.0% | 2.69-12.6% | 3.65-3.4% | 2.28-6.4% | 2.56-16.8% | 3.2-15.3% | 2.38-2.3% | 2.95-4.2% | 3.62-4.1% | 2.36-3.2% | 3.077-0.0% | 3.774-0.1% | 2.41-1.1% | 2.9-5.8% | 3.6-4.7% | 2.2-9.7% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | Bet365 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 遼寧鐵人 | 河南 | 遼寧鐵人 | 河南 | 遼寧鐵人 | 河南 | 遼寧鐵人 | 河南 | 遼寧鐵人 | 河南 | 遼寧鐵人 | 河南 | |
| -2.5 | 5.0% | 95.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.0+0.0% | 1.053+0.0% | — | — |
| -1.5 | 14.0% | 86.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7.143+0.0% | 1.163+0.0% | 5.75-19.5% | 1.14-2.0% |
| -0.75 | 26.4% | 73.6% | — | — | — | — | 3.63-4.1% | 1.304-4.1% | — | — | 3.45-8.8% | 1.3-4.4% |
| -0.5 | 32.8% | 67.2% | — | — | — | — | 2.92-4.1% | 1.427-4.1% | — | — | 2.75-9.7% | 1.425-4.3% |
| -0.25 | 37.7% | 62.3% | — | — | — | — | 2.55-3.8% | 1.546-3.8% | — | — | 2.425-8.5% | 1.525-5.1% |
| 0 | 44.4% | 55.6% | — | — | — | — | 2.17-3.6% | 1.735-3.6% | — | — | 2.075-7.8% | 1.725-4.1% |
| +0.25 | 52.8% | 47.2% | 1.78-6.0% | 2.04-3.8% | 1.8-4.9% | 2.08-1.9% | 1.84-2.8% | 2.06-2.8% | — | — | 1.85-2.3% | 1.95-8.0% |
| +0.5 | 59.1% | 40.9% | — | — | 1.6-5.5% | 2.38-2.6% | 1.629-3.8% | 2.35-3.8% | — | — | 1.6-5.5% | 2.3-5.8% |
| +0.75 | 65.6% | 34.4% | — | — | — | — | 1.469-3.6% | 2.8-3.6% | — | — | 1.45-4.9% | 2.675-8.0% |
| +1 | 73.5% | 26.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.305-4.1% | 3.62-4.1% | — | — | 1.275-6.3% | 3.55-5.9% |
| +1.25 | 76.3% | 23.7% | — | — | — | — | 1.258-4.0% | 4.05-4.0% | — | — | 1.24-5.4% | 3.9-7.6% |
| +1.5 | 79.5% | 20.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.258+0.0% | 4.878+0.0% | 1.2-4.6% | 4.4-9.8% |
| +2.5 | 91.5% | 8.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.093+0.0% | 11.765+0.0% | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | Bet365 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 95.0% | 5.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.053+0.0% | 20.0+0.0% | 1.03-2.2% | 15.0-25.0% |
| 1.5 | 79.6% | 20.4% | — | — | — | — | 1.213-3.4% | 4.48-8.6% | 1.242-1.1% | 5.128+4.6% | 1.2-4.5% | 4.333-11.6% |
| 2.25 | 63.9% | 36.1% | — | — | — | — | 1.5-4.1% | 2.66-4.1% | — | — | 1.525-2.5% | 2.425-12.6% |
| 2.5 | 57.1% | 42.9% | — | — | 1.66-5.1% | 2.25-3.6% | 1.69-3.4% | 2.22-4.9% | 1.739-0.6% | 2.353+0.8% | 1.727-1.3% | 2.075-11.1% |
| 2.75 | 51.7% | 48.3% | 1.9-1.8% | 1.9-8.2% | 1.88-2.8% | 1.98-4.3% | 1.87-3.4% | 2.0-3.4% | — | — | 1.85-4.4% | 1.95-5.8% |
| 3 | 45.2% | 54.8% | — | — | 2.09-5.4% | 1.77-3.1% | 2.12-4.1% | 1.752-4.1% | — | — | 2.15-2.7% | 1.675-8.3% |
| 3.25 | 40.0% | 60.0% | — | — | — | — | 2.4-4.0% | 1.599-4.0% | — | — | 2.425-3.0% | 1.525-8.5% |
| 3.5 | 35.7% | 64.3% | — | — | — | — | 2.66-5.1% | 1.488-4.3% | 2.817+0.5% | 1.55-0.3% | 2.625-6.3% | 1.444-7.1% |
| 4.5 | 18.7% | 81.3% | — | — | — | — | 4.79-10.4% | 1.192-3.1% | 5.714+6.9% | 1.212-1.5% | 5.0-6.4% | 1.166-5.2% |
| 5.5 | 8.0% | 92.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12.5+0.0% | 1.087+0.0% | 10.0-20.0% | 1.062-2.3% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。