西甲｜2026-08-27（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 塞爾塔 | 和 | 奧薩蘇納 | 塞爾塔 | 和 | 奧薩蘇納 | 塞爾塔 | 和 | 奧薩蘇納 | 塞爾塔 | 和 | 奧薩蘇納 | 塞爾塔 | 和 | 奧薩蘇納 | 塞爾塔 | 和 | 奧薩蘇納 | 塞爾塔 | 和 | 奧薩蘇納 | 塞爾塔 | 和 | 奧薩蘇納 | |
| 勝負 | 50.7% | 29.0% | 20.4% | 1.81-8.3% | 3.05-11.6% | 3.95-19.6% | 1.98+0.3% | 3.3-4.3% | 4.0-18.6% | 1.59-19.5% | 7.0 | 2.84-42.2% | 1.901-3.7% | 3.39-1.7% | 4.78-2.7% | 1.98+0.3% | 3.39-1.7% | 4.878-0.7% | 6.68 | 2.33-32.4% | 1.88-61.7% | 2.0+1.3% | 3.25-5.8% | 4.1-16.6% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | Bet365 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 塞爾塔 | 奧薩蘇納 | 塞爾塔 | 奧薩蘇納 | 塞爾塔 | 奧薩蘇納 | 塞爾塔 | 奧薩蘇納 | 塞爾塔 | 奧薩蘇納 | 塞爾塔 | 奧薩蘇納 | 塞爾塔 | 奧薩蘇納 | |
| -2.5 | 9.5% | 90.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.526+0.0% | 1.105+0.0% | 9.0-14.5% | 1.071-3.1% |
| -1.5 | 25.4% | 74.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.7-6.2% | 1.314-1.9% | 4.082+3.5% | 1.325-1.1% | 3.7-6.2% | 1.26-5.9% |
| -1.25 | 29.9% | 70.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24-3.1% | 1.383-3.1% | — | — | 3.3-1.3% | 1.325-7.1% |
| -1 | 34.8% | 65.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.88-34.6% | 1.96+27.8% | 2.8-2.6% | 1.493-2.6% | — | — | 2.85-0.9% | 1.4-8.7% |
| -0.75 | 44.1% | 55.9% | — | — | — | — | 2.25-0.7% | 1.74-2.8% | 2.21-2.5% | 1.746-2.5% | — | — | 2.25-0.7% | 1.625-9.2% |
| -0.5 | 51.2% | 48.8% | — | — | 2.0+2.4% | 1.9-7.2% | 1.92-1.7% | 2.02-1.4% | 1.917-1.9% | 2.01-1.9% | — | — | 1.975+1.1% | 1.875-8.5% |
| -0.25 | 59.8% | 40.2% | 1.67-0.1% | 2.22-10.8% | — | — | 1.64-1.9% | 2.42-2.7% | 1.633-2.3% | 2.43-2.3% | — | — | 1.65-1.3% | 2.2-11.6% |
| 0 | 71.7% | 28.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.36-2.5% | 3.44-2.5% | — | — | 1.375-1.5% | 3.0-15.0% |
| +0.25 | 76.2% | 23.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.273-3.0% | 4.08-3.0% | — | — | 1.3-0.9% | 3.45-18.0% |
| +0.5 | 79.5% | 20.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.222-2.9% | 4.73-2.9% | — | — | 1.23-2.3% | 4.0-17.9% |
| +1.5 | 94.5% | 5.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.058-0.0% | 18.182-0.0% | 1.05-0.8% | 11.0-39.5% |
| +2.5 | 98.8% | 1.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.012-0.0% | 83.333-0.0% | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 89.5% | 10.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.117-0.0% | 9.524-0.0% | — | — | 1.083-3.1% | 7.5-21.3% |
| 1.25 | 75.5% | 24.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.278-3.5% | 3.94-3.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.26-4.9% | 3.7-9.4% |
| 1.5 | 68.1% | 31.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.427-2.9% | 2.98-4.8% | 1.46-0.6% | 3.175+1.4% | 2.54 | 1.43-54.3% | 1.4-4.7% | 3.0-4.2% |
| 1.75 | 62.8% | 37.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.57-1.3% | 2.53-6.0% | 1.543-3.0% | 2.61-3.0% | — | — | — | — | 1.5-5.7% | 2.5-7.1% |
| 2 | 56.2% | 43.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.76-1.1% | 2.19-4.1% | 1.73-2.8% | 2.22-2.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.675-5.9% | 2.15-5.8% |
| 2.25 | 47.5% | 52.5% | 1.92-8.8% | 1.78-6.5% | 2.04-3.1% | 1.84-3.4% | 2.09-0.8% | 1.83-3.9% | 2.06-2.2% | 1.862-2.2% | — | — | — | — | 2.025-3.9% | 1.825-4.1% |
| 2.5 | 40.9% | 59.1% | 2.2-10.1% | 1.59-6.0% | — | — | 2.4-1.9% | 1.63-3.6% | 2.36-3.6% | 1.654-2.2% | 2.469+0.9% | 1.681-0.6% | — | — | 2.3-6.0% | 1.615-4.5% |
| 2.75 | 34.9% | 65.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78-3.1% | 1.488-3.1% | — | — | — | — | 2.675-6.7% | 1.45-5.6% |
| 3 | 26.9% | 73.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.59-3.5% | 1.319-3.5% | — | — | — | — | 3.45-7.3% | 1.3-4.9% |
| 3.25 | 24.1% | 75.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01-3.5% | 1.27-3.5% | — | — | — | — | 3.7-11.0% | 1.26-4.3% |
| 3.5 | 20.5% | 79.5% | 3.95-19.0% | 1.19-5.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.878+0.0% | 1.258+0.0% | — | — | 4.333-11.2% | 1.222-2.9% |
| 4.5 | 8.0% | 92.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12.5+0.0% | 1.087+0.0% | — | — | 9.0-28.0% | 1.071-1.5% |
| 5.5 | 3.0% | 97.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32.787-0.0% | 1.031-0.0% | — | — | 19.0-42.1% | 1.02-1.1% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。