西甲｜2026-08-27（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 巴塞隆納 | 和 | 畢爾包競技 | 巴塞隆納 | 和 | 畢爾包競技 | 巴塞隆納 | 和 | 畢爾包競技 | 巴塞隆納 | 和 | 畢爾包競技 | 巴塞隆納 | 和 | 畢爾包競技 | 巴塞隆納 | 和 | 畢爾包競技 | 巴塞隆納 | 和 | 畢爾包競技 | 巴塞隆納 | 和 | 畢爾包競技 | |
| 勝負 | 79.5% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 1.12-10.9% | 6.6-10.7% | 10.5-27.3% | 1.24-1.4% | 6.6-10.7% | 10.5-27.3% | 1.28+1.8% | 9.2+24.5% | 4.42-69.4% | 1.227-2.4% | 7.2-2.6% | 13.3-8.0% | 1.258+0.1% | 7.407+0.2% | 15.385+6.5% | 1.269+0.9% | 6.95-5.9% | 11.9-17.7% | 1.2-4.5% | 7.0-5.3% | 12.0-17.0% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 巴塞隆納 | 畢爾包競技 | 巴塞隆納 | 畢爾包競技 | 巴塞隆納 | 畢爾包競技 | 巴塞隆納 | 畢爾包競技 | 巴塞隆納 | 畢爾包競技 | 巴塞隆納 | 畢爾包競技 | 巴塞隆納 | 畢爾包競技 | 巴塞隆納 | 畢爾包競技 | |
| -2.75 | 29.8% | 70.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.19-4.9% | 1.355-4.9% | — | — | — | — | 2.85-15.0% | 1.4-1.7% |
| -2.5 | 36.1% | 63.9% | — | — | — | — | 1.75-36.9% | 2.09 | 2.67-3.7% | 1.476-5.6% | 2.74-1.2% | 1.575+0.7% | 2.43-12.4% | 1.49-4.7% | 2.425-12.6% | 1.525-2.5% |
| -2.25 | 39.9% | 60.1% | — | — | — | — | 2.4-4.2% | 1.65-0.9% | 2.4-4.2% | 1.595-4.2% | — | — | — | — | 2.25-10.2% | 1.625-2.4% |
| -2 | 45.1% | 54.9% | 1.99-10.3% | 1.83+0.5% | — | — | 2.13-4.0% | 1.82+0.0% | 2.15-3.1% | 1.763-3.1% | — | — | 1.98-10.8% | 1.77-2.7% | 2.025-8.8% | 1.825+0.3% |
| -1.75 | 52.4% | 47.6% | 1.75-8.3% | 2.09-0.5% | 1.85-3.1% | 2.05-2.4% | 1.85-3.1% | 2.09-0.5% | 1.862-2.4% | 2.05-2.4% | — | — | — | — | 1.75-8.3% | 2.05-2.4% |
| -1.5 | 58.5% | 41.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.67-2.2% | 2.36-2.1% | 1.68-1.7% | 2.28-5.5% | 1.681-1.6% | 2.469+2.4% | 1.705-0.2% | 2.332-3.3% | 1.625-4.9% | 2.25-6.7% |
| -1.25 | 64.5% | 35.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.485-4.2% | 2.7-4.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.475-4.8% | 2.6-7.7% |
| -1 | 73.2% | 26.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.299-4.9% | 3.55-4.9% | — | — | 1.29-5.6% | 3.38-9.5% | 1.325-3.0% | 3.3-11.6% |
| -0.75 | 76.3% | 23.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.248-4.8% | 4.01-4.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.275-2.8% | 3.55-15.7% |
| +1.5 | 97.9% | 2.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.021+0.0% | 48.78+0.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +2.5 | 99.4% | 0.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.006+0.0% | 181.818+0.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 97.4% | 2.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.027+0.0% | 38.462+0.0% | 1.01-1.6% | 27-29.8% | 1.012-1.4% | 23.0-40.2% |
| 1.5 | 89.5% | 10.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.117-0.0% | 9.524-0.0% | 1.044-6.6% | 6.75-29.1% | 1.111-0.6% | 6.5-31.8% |
| 2.5 | 70.8% | 29.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.347-4.6% | 3.17-7.6% | 1.399-0.9% | 3.509+2.3% | 1.31-7.2% | 3.125-8.9% | 1.363-3.4% | 3.2-6.7% |
| 2.75 | 66.9% | 33.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.413-5.4% | 2.86-5.4% | — | — | — | — | 1.45-2.9% | 2.675-11.5% |
| 3 | 62.9% | 37.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.518-4.6% | 2.57-4.6% | — | — | 1.48-7.0% | 2.51-6.8% | 1.55-2.6% | 2.375-11.8% |
| 3.25 | 55.6% | 44.4% | — | — | — | — | 1.75-2.6% | 2.2-2.4% | 1.73-3.7% | 2.17-3.7% | — | — | — | — | 1.725-4.0% | 2.075-8.0% |
| 3.5 | 50.1% | 49.9% | 1.73-13.3% | 1.98-1.3% | 1.97-1.2% | 1.91-4.8% | 1.94-2.7% | 1.98-1.3% | 1.952-2.1% | 1.935-3.5% | 1.98-0.7% | 2.02+0.7% | 1.964-1.5% | 1.976-1.5% | 1.975-1.0% | 1.875-6.5% |
| 3.75 | 44.4% | 55.6% | 1.95-13.5% | 1.75-2.6% | — | — | 2.14-5.1% | 1.79-0.4% | 2.17-3.7% | 1.73-3.7% | — | — | — | — | 2.15-4.6% | 1.675-6.8% |
| 4 | 37.6% | 62.4% | — | — | — | — | 2.51-5.7% | 1.58-1.4% | 2.54-4.6% | 1.529-4.6% | — | — | 2.38-10.6% | 1.53-4.5% | 2.5-6.1% | 1.5-6.4% |
| 4.25 | 33.7% | 66.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.81-5.4% | 1.427-5.4% | — | — | — | — | 2.75-7.4% | 1.425-5.5% |
| 4.5 | 30.5% | 69.5% | 2.68-18.2% | 1.4-2.7% | — | — | — | — | 3.1-5.4% | 1.361-5.4% | 3.279+0.0% | 1.439+0.0% | 2.86-12.8% | 1.36-5.5% | 3.2-2.4% | 1.363-5.3% |
| 5.5 | 16.5% | 83.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.061+0.0% | 1.198+0.0% | 4.95-18.3% | 1.106-7.7% | 5.5-9.2% | 1.142-4.6% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。