義甲｜2026-08-28（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC米蘭 | 和 | 威尼斯 | AC米蘭 | 和 | 威尼斯 | AC米蘭 | 和 | 威尼斯 | AC米蘭 | 和 | 威尼斯 | AC米蘭 | 和 | 威尼斯 | AC米蘭 | 和 | 威尼斯 | AC米蘭 | 和 | 威尼斯 | AC米蘭 | 和 | 威尼斯 | |
| 勝負 | 65.6% | 20.7% | 13.7% | 1.33-12.7% | 4.35-10.2% | 6.6-9.3% | 1.47-3.6% | 4.65-4.0% | 6.3-13.5% | 1.25-18.0% | 9.0 | 4.73-35.0% | 1.488-2.4% | 4.7-2.9% | 7.0-3.9% | 1.527+0.2% | 4.878+0.8% | 7.407+1.7% | 1.525+0.1% | 4.675-3.4% | 6.86-5.8% | 1.45-4.9% | 4.5-7.1% | 7.0-3.9% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC米蘭 | 威尼斯 | AC米蘭 | 威尼斯 | AC米蘭 | 威尼斯 | AC米蘭 | 威尼斯 | AC米蘭 | 威尼斯 | AC米蘭 | 威尼斯 | AC米蘭 | 威尼斯 | AC米蘭 | 威尼斯 | |
| -2.5 | 21.5% | 78.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.651+0.0% | 1.274+0.0% | 4.1-11.8% | 1.194-6.3% | 3.55-23.7% | 1.275+0.1% |
| -2.25 | 23.1% | 76.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.2-3.0% | 1.262-3.0% | — | — | — | — | 3.3-23.8% | 1.325+1.9% |
| -2 | 25.9% | 74.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.75-3.0% | 1.308-3.0% | — | — | 3.4-12.1% | 1.29-4.4% | 2.85-26.3% | 1.4+3.8% |
| -1.75 | 33.9% | 66.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87-2.6% | 1.474-2.6% | — | — | — | — | 2.35-20.3% | 1.575+4.1% |
| -1.5 | 41.0% | 59.0% | — | — | — | — | 2.4-1.6% | 1.65-2.7% | 2.4-1.6% | 1.637-3.5% | 2.41-1.1% | 1.709+0.8% | 2.404-1.4% | 1.668-1.6% | 2.05-15.9% | 1.75+3.2% |
| -1.25 | 46.3% | 53.7% | 1.98-8.4% | 1.84-1.1% | 2.08-3.7% | 1.82-2.2% | 2.11-2.4% | 1.84-1.1% | 2.12-1.9% | 1.826-1.9% | — | — | — | — | 2.05-5.1% | 1.8-3.3% |
| -1 | 54.1% | 45.9% | — | — | — | — | 1.82-1.6% | 2.13-2.2% | 1.8-2.7% | 2.12-2.7% | — | — | 1.74-5.9% | 2.02-7.2% | 1.55-16.2% | 2.375+9.1% |
| -0.75 | 60.5% | 39.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.61-2.5% | 2.49-1.7% | 1.61-2.5% | 2.47-2.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.45-12.2% | 2.675+5.6% |
| -0.5 | 65.4% | 34.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.481-3.1% | 2.8-3.1% | — | — | — | — | 1.35-11.7% | 3.1+7.2% |
| -0.25 | 72.8% | 27.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.331-3.0% | 3.57-3.0% | — | — | — | — | 1.24-9.7% | 3.9+5.9% |
| +1.5 | 96.2% | 3.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.04+0.0% | 26.316+0.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +2.5 | 99.0% | 1.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.01-0.0% | 100.0-0.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 94.5% | 5.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.058-0.0% | 18.182-0.0% | 1.003-5.2% | 13.9-23.6% | 1.04-1.7% | 13.0-28.5% |
| 1.5 | 79.5% | 20.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.258+0.0% | 4.878+0.0% | 1.195-5.0% | 4.2-13.9% | 1.222-2.9% | 4.333-11.2% |
| 1.75 | 75.5% | 24.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.278-3.5% | 3.94-3.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.275-3.7% | 3.55-13.1% |
| 2 | 72.2% | 27.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.337-3.5% | 3.47-3.5% | — | — | 1.31-5.4% | 3.32-7.7% | 1.35-2.5% | 3.1-13.8% |
| 2.25 | 63.2% | 36.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.535-2.9% | 2.64-2.9% | — | — | — | — | 1.55-2.0% | 2.375-12.7% |
| 2.5 | 56.3% | 43.7% | 1.61-9.3% | 2.17-5.2% | — | — | 1.72-3.1% | 2.25-1.7% | 1.725-2.8% | 2.21-3.5% | 1.77-0.3% | 2.299+0.4% | 1.765-0.6% | 2.229-2.7% | 1.8+1.4% | 2.0-12.7% |
| 2.75 | 50.8% | 49.2% | 1.78-9.6% | 1.92-5.6% | 1.93-1.9% | 1.95-4.1% | 1.94-1.4% | 1.98-2.6% | 1.917-2.6% | 1.98-2.6% | — | — | — | — | 2.0+1.6% | 1.85-9.0% |
| 3 | 43.8% | 56.2% | — | — | — | — | 2.23-2.2% | 1.73-2.8% | 2.21-3.1% | 1.725-3.1% | — | — | 2.13-6.6% | 1.68-5.6% | 2.3+0.8% | 1.6-10.1% |
| 3.25 | 38.4% | 61.6% | — | — | — | — | 2.56-1.8% | 1.56-3.9% | 2.53-2.9% | 1.575-2.9% | — | — | — | — | 2.6-0.2% | 1.475-9.1% |
| 3.5 | 33.9% | 66.1% | 2.62-11.2% | 1.42-6.1% | — | — | — | — | 2.82-4.5% | 1.469-2.9% | 2.985+1.1% | 1.504-0.6% | 2.66-9.9% | 1.43-5.4% | 2.75-6.8% | 1.444-4.5% |
| 3.75 | 28.4% | 71.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.4-3.5% | 1.347-3.5% | — | — | — | — | 3.45-2.1% | 1.3-6.9% |
| 4.5 | 16.5% | 83.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.061+0.0% | 1.198+0.0% | 4.7-22.4% | 1.128-5.8% | 5.0-17.5% | 1.166-2.6% |
| 5.5 | 7.5% | 92.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.333-0.0% | 1.081-0.0% | 8.8-34.0% | 1.008-6.8% | 11.0-17.5% | 1.05-2.9% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。