荷甲｜2026-08-28（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 格羅寧根 | 和 | 錫塔德福圖納 | 格羅寧根 | 和 | 錫塔德福圖納 | 格羅寧根 | 和 | 錫塔德福圖納 | 格羅寧根 | 和 | 錫塔德福圖納 | 格羅寧根 | 和 | 錫塔德福圖納 | 格羅寧根 | 和 | 錫塔德福圖納 | 格羅寧根 | 和 | 錫塔德福圖納 | 格羅寧根 | 和 | 錫塔德福圖納 | |
| 勝負 | 64.0% | 20.4% | 15.6% | 1.4-10.4% | 4.35-11.1% | 5.3-17.6% | 1.58+1.1% | 4.7-3.9% | 4.8-25.3% | 1.49-4.6% | 4.41-9.8% | 5.4-16.0% | 1.51-3.4% | 4.7-3.9% | 6.14-4.5% | 1.55-0.8% | 4.878-0.3% | 6.452+0.4% | 1.524-2.5% | 4.68-4.3% | 5.81-9.6% | 1.5-4.0% | 4.75-2.9% | 5.5-14.4% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 格羅寧根 | 錫塔德福圖納 | 格羅寧根 | 錫塔德福圖納 | 格羅寧根 | 錫塔德福圖納 | 格羅寧根 | 錫塔德福圖納 | 格羅寧根 | 錫塔德福圖納 | 格羅寧根 | 錫塔德福圖納 | 格羅寧根 | 錫塔德福圖納 | 格羅寧根 | 錫塔德福圖納 | |
| -2.5 | 22.5% | 77.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.444-0.0% | 1.29-0.0% | 3.8-14.5% | 1.188-7.9% | 4.25-4.4% | 1.21-6.2% |
| -2.25 | 25.2% | 74.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83-3.7% | 1.287-3.7% | — | — | — | — | 3.9-1.9% | 1.24-7.2% |
| -2 | 28.0% | 72.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44-3.7% | 1.338-3.7% | — | — | 3.14-12.1% | 1.27-8.6% | 3.55-0.6% | 1.275-8.2% |
| -1.75 | 35.5% | 64.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72-3.3% | 1.5-3.3% | — | — | — | — | 2.75-2.3% | 1.425-8.2% |
| -1.5 | 42.1% | 57.9% | — | — | — | — | 2.38+0.2% | 1.62-6.2% | 2.32-2.4% | 1.658-4.0% | 2.353-1.0% | 1.739+0.7% | 2.287-3.7% | 1.654-4.2% | 2.375-0.0% | 1.55-10.2% |
| -1.25 | 46.9% | 53.1% | 2.06-3.3% | 1.76-6.6% | — | — | 2.12-0.5% | 1.79-5.0% | 2.08-2.4% | 1.84-2.4% | — | — | — | — | 2.15+0.9% | 1.675-11.1% |
| -1 | 53.9% | 46.1% | 1.78-4.0% | 2.03-6.5% | 1.94+4.6% | 1.96-9.7% | 1.85-0.2% | 2.05-5.6% | 1.794-3.3% | 2.1-3.3% | — | — | 1.74-6.2% | 2.02-6.9% | 1.8-2.9% | 2.0-7.9% |
| -0.75 | 59.8% | 40.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.65-1.3% | 2.33-6.4% | 1.617-3.2% | 2.41-3.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.675+0.2% | 2.15-13.7% |
| -0.5 | 64.3% | 35.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.498-3.7% | 2.7-3.7% | — | — | — | — | 1.55-0.3% | 2.375-15.3% |
| -0.25 | 71.4% | 28.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.348-3.7% | 3.37-3.7% | — | — | — | — | 1.4+0.0% | 2.85-18.6% |
| +1.5 | 94.8% | 5.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.055-0.0% | 19.048-0.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +2.5 | 98.4% | 1.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.016+0.0% | 64.516+0.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | Bet365 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 96.2% | 3.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.039+0.0% | 26.667+0.0% | 1.019-1.9% | 17.5-34.4% | 1.02-1.8% | 19.0-28.7% |
| 1.5 | 83.5% | 16.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.164-2.9% | 5.45-9.8% | 1.183-1.3% | 6.452+6.8% | 1.103-8.0% | 5.05-16.4% | 1.125-6.1% | 6.0-0.7% |
| 2.5 | 63.2% | 36.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.532-3.2% | 2.6-4.3% | 1.575-0.4% | 2.74+0.8% | 1.44-9.0% | 2.45-9.9% | 1.444-8.7% | 2.7-0.7% |
| 2.75 | 58.5% | 41.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.58-7.6% | 2.42+0.4% | 1.645-3.7% | 2.32-3.7% | — | — | — | — | 1.525-10.8% | 2.425+0.6% |
| 3 | 52.9% | 47.1% | — | — | — | — | 1.81-4.2% | 2.07-2.5% | 1.833-3.0% | 2.06-3.0% | — | — | 1.72-9.0% | 1.96-7.7% | 1.675-11.4% | 2.15+1.2% |
| 3.25 | 46.5% | 53.5% | 1.9-11.6% | 1.8-3.7% | 1.93-10.2% | 1.95+4.3% | 2.04-5.1% | 1.84-1.6% | 2.07-3.7% | 1.8-3.7% | — | — | — | — | 1.85-14.0% | 1.95+4.3% |
| 3.5 | 41.6% | 58.4% | 2.13-11.5% | 1.63-4.8% | — | — | 2.29-4.8% | 1.65-3.6% | 2.31-4.0% | 1.649-3.7% | 2.41+0.2% | 1.709-0.1% | 2.273-5.5% | 1.662-2.9% | 2.1-12.7% | 1.666-2.7% |
| 4.5 | 23.7% | 76.3% | 3.55-15.9% | 1.24-5.4% | — | — | — | — | 4.01-4.9% | 1.26-3.9% | 4.255+0.9% | 1.307-0.3% | 3.62-14.2% | 1.21-7.7% | 3.5-17.0% | 1.285-2.0% |
| 5.5 | 11.5% | 88.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8.696+0.0% | 1.13+0.0% | 6.6-24.1% | 1.048-7.3% | 6.5-25.2% | 1.111-1.7% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。