法甲｜2026-08-29（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LYON | 和 | 勒阿弗爾 | LYON | 和 | 勒阿弗爾 | LYON | 和 | 勒阿弗爾 | LYON | 和 | 勒阿弗爾 | LYON | 和 | 勒阿弗爾 | LYON | 和 | 勒阿弗爾 | |
| 勝負 | 65.6% | 20.6% | 13.8% | 1.33-12.7% | 4.25-12.7% | 6.9-4.7% | 1.47-3.5% | 4.6-5.5% | 6.4-11.6% | 1.488-2.3% | 4.68-3.8% | 6.83-5.7% | 1.504-1.3% | 4.878+0.2% | 7.407+2.3% | 1.515-0.6% | 4.725-2.9% | 6.96-3.9% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LYON | 勒阿弗爾 | LYON | 勒阿弗爾 | LYON | 勒阿弗爾 | LYON | 勒阿弗爾 | LYON | 勒阿弗爾 | LYON | 勒阿弗爾 | |
| -2.5 | 20.5% | 79.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.878+0.0% | 1.258+0.0% | 3.9-20.0% | 1.179-6.3% |
| -2.25 | 23.5% | 76.5% | — | — | — | — | 4.12-3.0% | 1.269-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| -2 | 26.4% | 73.6% | — | — | — | — | 3.67-3.1% | 1.317-3.1% | — | — | 3.28-13.4% | 1.27-6.5% |
| -1.75 | 34.5% | 65.5% | — | — | — | — | 2.82-2.7% | 1.485-2.7% | — | — | — | — |
| -1.5 | 40.8% | 59.2% | — | — | — | — | 2.37-3.3% | 1.654-2.1% | 2.469+0.7% | 1.681-0.5% | 2.375-3.1% | 1.683-0.4% |
| -1.25 | 46.7% | 53.3% | 1.99-7.1% | 1.83-2.5% | 2.07-3.3% | 1.83-2.5% | 2.1-1.9% | 1.84-1.9% | — | — | — | — |
| -1 | 54.5% | 45.5% | 1.83-0.3% | 1.93-12.2% | — | — | 1.787-2.6% | 2.14-2.6% | — | — | 1.75-4.6% | 2.08-5.3% |
| -0.75 | 60.8% | 39.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.602-2.7% | 2.48-2.7% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.5 | 65.5% | 34.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.478-3.1% | 2.81-3.1% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.25 | 72.9% | 27.1% | — | — | — | — | 1.33-3.0% | 3.58-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +1.5 | 96.2% | 3.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.04+0.0% | 26.316+0.0% | — | — |
| +2.5 | 98.9% | 1.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.011-0.0% | 90.909-0.0% | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 94.5% | 5.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.058-0.0% | 18.182-0.0% | 1.006-4.9% | 13.5-25.8% |
| 1.5 | 78.5% | 21.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.274+0.0% | 4.651+0.0% | 1.2-5.8% | 3.94-15.3% |
| 1.75 | 74.7% | 25.3% | — | — | — | — | 1.291-3.5% | 3.82-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | 71.2% | 28.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.355-3.5% | 3.35-3.5% | — | — | 1.32-6.0% | 3.14-9.6% |
| 2.25 | 62.2% | 37.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.559-3.0% | 2.57-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 2.5 | 55.4% | 44.6% | 1.71-5.3% | 2.01-10.3% | — | — | 1.758-2.7% | 2.17-3.2% | 1.802-0.2% | 2.247+0.3% | 1.785-1.2% | 2.198-1.9% |
| 2.75 | 49.8% | 50.2% | 1.91-5.0% | 1.79-10.1% | 1.99-1.0% | 1.89-5.0% | 1.962-2.4% | 1.943-2.4% | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | 42.7% | 57.3% | — | — | — | — | 2.27-3.0% | 1.694-3.0% | — | — | 2.15-8.1% | 1.64-6.1% |
| 3.25 | 37.4% | 62.6% | — | — | — | — | 2.59-3.1% | 1.549-3.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 3.5 | 33.0% | 67.0% | 2.85-6.0% | 1.36-8.9% | — | — | 2.88-5.0% | 1.45-2.8% | 3.077+1.5% | 1.481-0.8% | 2.68-11.6% | 1.4-6.2% |
| 3.75 | 27.7% | 72.3% | — | — | — | — | 3.49-3.5% | 1.334-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 4.5 | 16.5% | 83.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.061+0.0% | 1.198+0.0% | 4.7-22.4% | 1.121-6.4% |
| 5.5 | 6.5% | 93.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.385+0.0% | 1.07+0.0% | 8.5-44.7% | 1.012-5.4% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。