火花 vs 神秘人|市場共識概率與投注種類比較

WNBA|2026-08-29(香港時間)|資料僅供賽事研究參考,非投注建議

火花神秘人
香港時間 08/29 10:00 開賽

市場共識概率

34.6%65.4%
火花神秘人

價差訊號

目前,三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。

目前投注種類明細

主客和概率熊貓MTPinnaclePolymarket1xbetBet365
火花神秘人火花神秘人火花神秘人火花神秘人火花神秘人火花神秘人火花神秘人
勝負34.6%65.4%2.66-7.9%1.47-3.9%2.58-10.7%1.47-3.9%2.67-7.6%1.485-2.9%2.985+3.3%1.504-1.7%2.656-8.0%1.503-1.7%2.65-8.3%1.5-1.9%
讓球概率熊貓MTPinnaclePolymarket1xbetBet365
火花神秘人火花神秘人火花神秘人火花神秘人火花神秘人火花神秘人火花神秘人
+343.4%56.6%2.18-5.4%1.671-5.4%2.08-9.7%1.7-3.8%2.22-3.7%1.6-9.4%
+3.545.3%54.7%2.09-5.3%1.73-5.3%2.02-8.5%1.76-3.7%2.12-4.0%1.66-9.2%
+447.3%52.7%2.04-3.5%1.8-5.1%2.0-5.4%1.794-5.4%1.95-7.8%1.83-3.5%2.05-3.1%1.71-9.9%
+4.549.4%50.6%1.97-2.6%1.89-4.4%1.95-3.6%1.89-4.4%1.935-4.4%1.885-4.7%2.02-0.2%1.98+0.1%1.92-5.1%1.92-2.9%1.9-6.1%1.9-3.9%
+551.5%48.5%1.88-3.2%1.96-4.9%1.84-5.3%1.952-5.3%1.833-5.6%1.95-5.4%1.95+0.4%1.83-11.2%
+5.552.5%47.5%1.769-7.2%2.03-3.5%1.942+1.9%2.062-2.0%1.77-7.1%2.01-4.5%
+655.3%44.7%1.714-5.2%2.12-5.2%1.71-5.4%2.06-7.9%1.8-0.5%2.0-10.6%
+6.556.0%44.0%1.786+0.0%2.273+0.0%1.65-7.6%2.13-6.3%1.71-4.2%2.05-9.8%
入球大細概率熊貓MTPinnaclePolymarket1xbetBet365
165.553.1%46.9%1.763-6.3%2.0-6.3%1.77-5.9%2.01-5.8%1.68-10.7%2.1-1.6%
16652.2%47.8%1.82-5.1%2.0-4.3%1.8-6.1%1.962-6.1%1.81-5.6%1.98-5.3%1.71-10.8%2.05-1.9%
166.550.8%49.2%1.87-5.0%1.95-4.1%1.847-6.1%1.909-6.1%1.86-5.5%1.94-4.6%1.74-11.6%2.0-1.7%
16749.6%50.4%1.94-3.8%1.88-5.2%1.909-5.4%1.877-5.4%1.89-6.3%1.89-4.7%1.8-10.8%1.95-1.7%
167.548.7%51.3%1.95-5.0%1.89-3.1%1.935-5.7%1.82-6.7%2.041-0.5%1.961+0.5%1.951-4.9%1.89-3.1%1.9-7.4%1.9-2.6%
16847.4%52.6%1.98-6.2%1.781-6.2%1.95-7.7%1.8-5.2%1.95-7.7%1.8-5.2%
168.546.2%53.8%2.03-6.1%1.746-6.1%1.97-8.9%1.76-5.4%2.0-7.5%1.74-6.5%

數據回顧

本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當,沒到訊號門檻。

賽前市場概率走勢

自 Betlead 首次記錄到目前的 Pinnacle 去水概率變化(香港時間),虛線為開賽時刻;開賽後不再更新。

火花 35.7%神秘人 64.3%
0%25%50%75%100%開賽08/28 08:4010:00

看懂這場數據的關鍵

兩隊資料與對賽往績

市場共識概率=Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率(市場價格轉換,非 AI 模型)。 本頁隨投注種類更新,完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本:consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理,所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考,不構成投注建議,亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注,理性判斷、量力而為。

隱私權政策使用條款負責任博彩方法說明