義甲｜2026-08-29（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 薩索洛 | 和 | 杜里諾 | 薩索洛 | 和 | 杜里諾 | 薩索洛 | 和 | 杜里諾 | 薩索洛 | 和 | 杜里諾 | 薩索洛 | 和 | 杜里諾 | 薩索洛 | 和 | 杜里諾 | 薩索洛 | 和 | 杜里諾 | |
| 勝負 | 41.5% | 29.7% | 28.8% | 2.07-14.2% | 3.1-7.8% | 3.05-12.2% | 2.28-5.5% | 3.5+4.1% | 3.05-12.2% | 1.62-32.8% | 7.0 | 2.75-20.8% | 2.36-2.2% | 3.26-3.0% | 3.36-3.2% | 2.41-0.1% | 3.39+0.8% | 3.509+1.0% | 2.384-1.2% | 3.335-0.8% | 3.375-2.8% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 薩索洛 | 杜里諾 | 薩索洛 | 杜里諾 | 薩索洛 | 杜里諾 | 薩索洛 | 杜里諾 | 薩索洛 | 杜里諾 | 薩索洛 | 杜里諾 | 薩索洛 | 杜里諾 | |
| -2.5 | 7.0% | 93.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.286-0.0% | 1.075-0.0% | 9.9-30.7% | 1.02-5.1% |
| -1.5 | 19.5% | 80.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5.128-0.0% | 1.242-0.0% | 4.4-14.2% | 1.147-7.7% |
| -1.25 | 22.4% | 77.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.33-2.9% | 1.251-2.9% | — | — | — | — |
| -1 | 25.4% | 74.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.94-50.8% | 1.9 | 3.82-3.1% | 1.299-3.1% | — | — | 3.48-11.7% | 1.25-6.7% |
| -0.75 | 34.3% | 65.7% | — | — | — | — | 2.85-2.3% | 1.48-2.7% | 2.84-2.7% | 1.481-2.7% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.5 | 41.3% | 58.7% | — | — | — | — | 2.33-3.7% | 1.69-0.8% | 2.36-2.5% | 1.662-2.5% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.25 | 48.6% | 51.4% | 1.92-6.7% | 1.9-2.3% | 2.0-2.8% | 1.9-2.3% | 2.02-1.9% | 1.92-1.3% | 2.02-1.9% | 1.909-1.9% | — | — | — | — |
| 0 | 58.8% | 41.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.658-2.4% | 2.37-2.4% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.25 | 66.0% | 34.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.476-2.6% | 2.86-2.6% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.5 | 70.9% | 29.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.366-3.1% | 3.33-3.1% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.75 | 77.5% | 22.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.252-2.9% | 4.32-2.9% | — | — | — | — |
| +1.5 | 89.5% | 10.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.117-0.0% | 9.524-0.0% | 1.043-6.6% | 7.2-24.4% |
| +2.5 | 96.8% | 3.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.033+0.0% | 31.746+0.0% | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 91.5% | 8.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.093+0.0% | 11.765+0.0% | 1.012-7.4% | 8.5-27.7% |
| 1.25 | 79.2% | 20.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.219-3.5% | 4.63-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 1.5 | 72.3% | 27.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.339-3.2% | 3.45-4.3% | 1.379-0.3% | 3.636+0.8% | 1.3-6.0% | 3.16-12.4% |
| 1.75 | 68.1% | 31.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.424-3.0% | 3.04-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | 62.6% | 37.4% | — | — | — | — | 1.56-2.3% | 2.56-4.3% | 1.552-2.8% | 2.6-2.8% | — | — | 1.51-5.4% | 2.43-9.2% |
| 2.25 | 53.3% | 46.7% | — | — | — | — | 1.84-2.0% | 2.08-2.8% | 1.833-2.3% | 2.09-2.3% | — | — | — | — |
| 2.5 | 46.4% | 53.6% | 1.95-9.6% | 1.75-6.1% | 2.06-4.5% | 1.82-2.4% | 2.06-4.5% | 1.86-0.2% | 2.1-2.6% | 1.806-3.1% | 2.151-0.3% | 1.869+0.2% | 2.118-1.8% | 1.841-1.3% |
| 2.75 | 40.2% | 59.8% | 2.25-9.5% | 1.57-6.1% | — | — | 2.38-4.3% | 1.64-1.9% | 2.41-3.1% | 1.621-3.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | 32.6% | 67.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.96-3.5% | 1.431-3.5% | — | — | 2.82-8.1% | 1.39-6.3% |
| 3.25 | 29.0% | 71.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.33-3.5% | 1.358-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 3.5 | 25.0% | 75.0% | 3.4-15.0% | 1.26-5.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.0-0.0% | 1.333-0.0% | 3.44-14.0% | 1.26-5.5% |
| 4.5 | 11.5% | 88.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8.696+0.0% | 1.13+0.0% | 6.85-21.2% | 1.042-7.8% |
| 5.5 | 4.2% | 95.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.529-0.0% | 1.044-0.0% | 14-40.5% | 1.03-1.4% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。