中超・同日第 2 場｜2026-08-29（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | Bet365 | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 青島海牛 | 和 | 武漢三鎮 | 青島海牛 | 和 | 武漢三鎮 | 青島海牛 | 和 | 武漢三鎮 | 青島海牛 | 和 | 武漢三鎮 | 青島海牛 | 和 | 武漢三鎮 | 青島海牛 | 和 | 武漢三鎮 | |
| 勝負 | 36.1% | 26.6% | 37.3% | 2.64-4.6% | 3.7-1.7% | 2.3-14.2% | 2.56-7.5% | 3.34-11.3% | 2.32-13.4% | 2.68-3.2% | 3.6-4.4% | 2.58-3.7% | 2.74-1.0% | 3.774+0.2% | 2.667-0.5% | 2.75-0.7% | 3.5-7.0% | 2.4-10.4% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | Bet365 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 青島海牛 | 武漢三鎮 | 青島海牛 | 武漢三鎮 | 青島海牛 | 武漢三鎮 | 青島海牛 | 武漢三鎮 | 青島海牛 | 武漢三鎮 | 青島海牛 | 武漢三鎮 | |
| -2.5 | 6.7% | 93.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.925+0.0% | 1.072+0.0% | — | — |
| -1.5 | 16.5% | 83.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.061+0.0% | 1.198+0.0% | 5.25-13.4% | 1.16-3.1% |
| -1 | 21.7% | 78.3% | — | — | — | — | 4.42-4.0% | 1.226-4.0% | — | — | 4.4-4.5% | 1.2-6.1% |
| -0.75 | 29.6% | 70.4% | — | — | — | — | 3.24-4.1% | 1.362-4.1% | — | — | 3.3-2.3% | 1.325-6.7% |
| -0.5 | 36.0% | 64.0% | — | — | — | — | 2.67-3.8% | 1.505-3.8% | — | — | 2.675-3.6% | 1.45-7.3% |
| -0.25 | 41.5% | 58.5% | — | — | 2.4-0.4% | 1.59-7.0% | 2.32-3.7% | 1.645-3.7% | — | — | 2.35-2.5% | 1.575-7.8% |
| 0 | 49.1% | 50.9% | 2.07+1.6% | 1.79-8.9% | — | — | 1.98-2.8% | 1.909-2.8% | — | — | 2.025-0.6% | 1.775-9.6% |
| +0.25 | 56.8% | 43.2% | — | — | 1.77+0.6% | 2.12-8.5% | 1.694-3.7% | 2.23-3.7% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.5 | 62.4% | 37.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.541-3.8% | 2.56-3.8% | — | — | 1.55-3.2% | 2.375-10.8% |
| +0.75 | 68.9% | 31.1% | — | — | — | — | 1.391-4.2% | 3.08-4.2% | — | — | 1.4-3.6% | 2.85-11.3% |
| +1 | 76.8% | 23.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.25-4.0% | 4.13-4.0% | — | — | 1.25-4.0% | 3.8-11.7% |
| +1.5 | 81.5% | 18.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.227-0.0% | 5.405-0.0% | 1.19-3.0% | 4.5-16.7% |
| +2.5 | 93.0% | 7.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.075-0.0% | 14.286-0.0% | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | Bet365 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 95.0% | 5.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.053+0.0% | 20.0+0.0% | 1.04-1.2% | 13.0-35.0% |
| 1.5 | 80.1% | 19.9% | — | — | — | — | 1.204-3.5% | 4.61-8.5% | 1.235-1.0% | 5.263+4.5% | 1.2-3.8% | 4.333-14.0% |
| 2.25 | 64.5% | 35.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.485-4.2% | 2.7-4.2% | — | — | 1.5-3.2% | 2.5-11.3% |
| 2.5 | 57.9% | 42.1% | — | — | — | — | 1.676-2.9% | 2.25-5.3% | 1.709-1.0% | 2.41+1.4% | 1.666-3.5% | 2.15-9.5% |
| 2.75 | 52.4% | 47.6% | 1.85-3.1% | 1.99-5.2% | 1.71-10.5% | 2.17+3.4% | 1.847-3.3% | 2.03-3.3% | — | — | 1.85-3.1% | 1.95-7.1% |
| 3 | 45.8% | 54.2% | — | — | 2.01-7.9% | 1.85+0.2% | 2.09-4.2% | 1.769-4.2% | — | — | 2.1-3.7% | 1.7-7.9% |
| 3.25 | 40.5% | 59.5% | — | — | 2.26-8.6% | 1.65-1.7% | 2.37-4.1% | 1.61-4.1% | — | — | 2.375-3.9% | 1.55-7.7% |
| 3.5 | 36.4% | 63.6% | — | — | — | — | 2.63-4.3% | 1.498-4.7% | 2.74-0.3% | 1.575+0.2% | 2.625-4.5% | 1.444-8.2% |
| 4.5 | 19.4% | 80.6% | — | — | — | — | 4.7-8.8% | 1.198-3.4% | 5.405+4.9% | 1.227-1.1% | 5.0-3.0% | 1.166-6.0% |
| 5.5 | 8.5% | 91.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11.765+0.0% | 1.093+0.0% | 10.0-15.0% | 1.062-2.8% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。