法甲｜2026-08-30（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 雷恩 | 和 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 和 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 和 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 和 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 和 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 和 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 和 | 勒芒 | |
| 勝負 | 67.8% | 19.0% | 13.2% | 1.34-9.2% | 4.4-16.5% | 6.3-16.5% | 1.4-5.1% | 4.75-9.8% | 6.2-17.9% | 1.39-5.8% | 4.43-15.9% | 6.2-17.9% | 1.429-3.2% | 5.05-4.1% | 7.1-5.9% | 1.46-1.1% | 5.263-0.1% | 7.692+1.9% | 1.463-0.9% | 5.08-3.6% | 7.41-1.8% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 雷恩 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 勒芒 | |
| -2.5 | 23.0% | 77.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.348+0.0% | 1.299+0.0% | 3.5-19.5% | 1.22-6.1% |
| -2.25 | 27.0% | 73.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.57-3.5% | 1.323-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| -2 | 30.4% | 69.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.18-3.5% | 1.386-3.5% | — | — | 2.89-12.3% | 1.34-6.7% |
| -1.75 | 38.2% | 61.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.54-3.0% | 1.568-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| -1.5 | 44.5% | 55.5% | — | — | — | — | 2.21-1.7% | 1.72-4.5% | 2.18-3.0% | 1.746-3.1% | 2.247-0.0% | 1.802+0.0% | 2.212-1.6% | 1.776-1.4% |
| -1.25 | 50.5% | 49.5% | 1.93-2.6% | 1.83-9.3% | 1.93-2.6% | 1.95-3.4% | 1.95-1.6% | 1.95-3.4% | 1.935-2.4% | 1.971-2.4% | — | — | — | — |
| -1 | 58.2% | 41.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.7-1.1% | 2.25-5.9% | 1.667-3.0% | 2.32-3.0% | — | — | 1.65-4.0% | 2.24-6.3% |
| -0.75 | 63.7% | 36.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.521-3.1% | 2.67-3.1% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.5 | 67.9% | 32.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.42-3.5% | 3.01-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.25 | 74.8% | 25.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.291-3.4% | 3.83-3.4% | — | — | — | — |
| +1.5 | 95.7% | 4.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.045-0.0% | 22.989-0.0% | — | — |
| +2.5 | 96.3% | 3.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.038-0.0% | 27.027-0.0% | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 95.0% | 5.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.053+0.0% | 20.0+0.0% | 1.019-3.2% | 17.5-12.5% |
| 1.5 | 82.5% | 17.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.212-0.0% | 5.714-0.0% | 1.125-7.2% | 4.65-18.6% |
| 2 | 76.6% | 23.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.254-3.9% | 4.11-3.9% | — | — | 1.196-8.4% | 3.8-11.2% |
| 2.25 | 67.9% | 32.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.415-4.0% | 2.99-4.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 2.5 | 61.3% | 38.7% | 1.52-6.9% | 2.35-9.0% | — | — | — | — | 1.581-3.1% | 2.48-4.0% | 1.626-0.4% | 2.597+0.5% | 1.52-6.9% | 2.33-9.8% |
| 2.75 | 56.3% | 43.7% | 1.65-7.1% | 2.1-8.3% | — | — | 1.73-2.6% | 2.17-5.2% | 1.714-3.5% | 2.21-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | 50.2% | 49.8% | — | — | 1.92-3.6% | 1.94-3.4% | 1.98-0.6% | 1.9-5.4% | 1.935-2.8% | 1.952-2.8% | — | — | 1.86-6.6% | 1.86-7.4% |
| 3.25 | 44.1% | 55.9% | — | — | — | — | 2.25-0.9% | 1.68-6.0% | 2.19-3.5% | 1.725-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 3.5 | 39.1% | 60.9% | 2.38-6.9% | 1.51-8.1% | — | — | — | — | 2.46-3.8% | 1.588-3.3% | 2.564+0.3% | 1.639-0.2% | 2.487-2.7% | 1.631-0.7% |
| 3.75 | 33.5% | 66.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87-3.9% | 1.444-3.9% | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | 26.3% | 73.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65-3.9% | 1.304-3.9% | — | — | 3.4-10.5% | 1.28-5.7% |
| 4.5 | 20.5% | 79.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.878+0.0% | 1.258+0.0% | 4.05-17.0% | 1.191-5.3% |
| 5.5 | 9.5% | 90.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.526+0.0% | 1.105+0.0% | 7.3-30.6% | 1.033-6.5% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
自 Betlead 首次記錄到目前的 Pinnacle 去水概率變化（香港時間），虛線為開賽時刻；開賽後不再更新。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。