英超・同日第 2 場｜2026-08-30（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 切爾西 | 和 | 布萊頓 | 切爾西 | 和 | 布萊頓 | 切爾西 | 和 | 布萊頓 | 切爾西 | 和 | 布萊頓 | 切爾西 | 和 | 布萊頓 | 切爾西 | 和 | 布萊頓 | 切爾西 | 和 | 布萊頓 | |
| 勝負 | 51.4% | 24.8% | 23.8% | 1.69-13.1% | 3.75-7.0% | 3.7-12.0% | 1.93-0.8% | 3.85-4.6% | 3.6-14.3% | 1.58-18.8% | 7.6 | 2.82-32.9% | 1.901-2.3% | 3.89-3.6% | 4.05-3.6% | 1.942-0.2% | 4.082+1.2% | 4.255+1.3% | 1.909-1.9% | 3.98-1.3% | 4.16-1.0% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 切爾西 | 布萊頓 | 切爾西 | 布萊頓 | 切爾西 | 布萊頓 | 切爾西 | 布萊頓 | 切爾西 | 布萊頓 | 切爾西 | 布萊頓 | 切爾西 | 布萊頓 | |
| -2.5 | 12.5% | 87.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8.0+0.0% | 1.143+0.0% | 5.5-31.2% | 1.083-5.2% |
| -1.5 | 28.8% | 71.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34-3.9% | 1.366-2.7% | 3.509+0.9% | 1.399-0.3% | 2.98-14.3% | 1.33-5.3% |
| -1.25 | 32.6% | 67.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.97-3.1% | 1.439-3.1% | — | — | — | — |
| -1 | 37.2% | 62.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.76-34.6% | 2.08 | 2.62-2.7% | 1.549-2.7% | — | — | 2.4-10.8% | 1.52-4.5% |
| -0.75 | 45.1% | 54.9% | 2.04-8.0% | 1.79-1.7% | — | — | 2.17-2.1% | 1.79-1.7% | 2.16-2.6% | 1.775-2.6% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.5 | 51.2% | 48.8% | — | — | 1.93-1.2% | 1.97-3.8% | 1.92-1.7% | 2.02-1.4% | 1.917-1.9% | 2.01-1.9% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.25 | 58.5% | 41.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.66-2.9% | 2.38-1.2% | 1.667-2.5% | 2.35-2.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 0 | 68.1% | 31.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.431-2.6% | 3.05-2.6% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.25 | 72.5% | 27.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.338-3.1% | 3.52-3.1% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.5 | 75.8% | 24.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.28-3.0% | 4.0-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +1.5 | 91.0% | 9.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.099+0.0% | 11.111+0.0% | 1.043-5.1% | 7.8-29.8% |
| +2.5 | 97.3% | 2.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.028-0.0% | 36.364-0.0% | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 95.5% | 4.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.047-0.0% | 22.222-0.0% | 1.004-4.1% | 16-28.0% |
| 1.5 | 82.5% | 17.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.212-0.0% | 5.714-0.0% | 1.168-3.6% | 4.55-20.4% |
| 2 | 75.3% | 24.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.273-4.1% | 3.88-4.1% | — | — | 1.26-5.1% | 3.7-8.6% |
| 2.25 | 66.6% | 33.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.439-4.2% | 2.87-4.2% | — | — | — | — |
| 2.5 | 60.0% | 40.0% | 1.49-10.6% | 2.43-2.9% | — | — | 1.6-4.0% | 2.47-1.3% | 1.617-2.9% | 2.38-4.9% | 1.653-0.8% | 2.532+1.2% | 1.66-0.4% | 2.423-3.1% |
| 2.75 | 54.1% | 45.9% | 1.65-10.7% | 2.1-3.7% | 1.89+2.3% | 1.99-8.7% | 1.79-3.1% | 2.14-1.9% | 1.787-3.2% | 2.11-3.2% | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | 47.5% | 52.5% | — | — | — | — | 2.07-1.7% | 1.85-2.8% | 2.06-2.2% | 1.862-2.2% | — | — | 1.93-8.4% | 1.83-3.9% |
| 3.25 | 42.0% | 58.0% | 2.02-15.1% | 1.7-1.4% | — | — | 2.36-0.8% | 1.65-4.3% | 2.3-3.4% | 1.667-3.4% | — | — | — | — |
| 3.5 | 37.6% | 62.4% | 2.22-16.4% | 1.58-1.5% | — | — | — | — | 2.55-4.0% | 1.549-3.4% | 2.667+0.4% | 1.6-0.2% | 2.39-10.0% | 1.52-5.2% |
| 3.75 | 32.2% | 67.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.98-4.1% | 1.413-4.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | 25.2% | 74.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81-4.1% | 1.281-4.1% | — | — | 3.48-12.4% | 1.25-6.5% |
| 4.5 | 19.5% | 80.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5.128-0.0% | 1.242-0.0% | 4.05-21.0% | 1.174-5.5% |
| 5.5 | 9.5% | 90.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.526+0.0% | 1.105+0.0% | 7.1-32.5% | 1.036-6.2% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。