荷甲・同日第 2 場|2026-08-30(香港時間)|資料僅供賽事研究參考,非投注建議
目前,三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 烏特勒支 | 和 | PSV燕豪芬 | 烏特勒支 | 和 | PSV燕豪芬 | 烏特勒支 | 和 | PSV燕豪芬 | 烏特勒支 | 和 | PSV燕豪芬 | 烏特勒支 | 和 | PSV燕豪芬 | 烏特勒支 | 和 | PSV燕豪芬 | 烏特勒支 | 和 | PSV燕豪芬 | |
| 勝負 | 16.9% | 18.5% | 64.6% | 5.0-15.7% | 4.85-10.2% | 1.37-11.5% | 5.0-15.7% | 5.3-1.8% | 1.5-3.1% | 2.94-50.4% | 8.0 | 1.53-1.1% | 5.57-6.1% | 5.17-4.3% | 1.503-2.9% | 6.061+2.2% | 5.405+0.1% | 1.527-1.3% | 5.4-9.0% | 5.24-3.0% | 1.502-2.9% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 烏特勒支 | PSV燕豪芬 | 烏特勒支 | PSV燕豪芬 | 烏特勒支 | PSV燕豪芬 | 烏特勒支 | PSV燕豪芬 | 烏特勒支 | PSV燕豪芬 | 烏特勒支 | PSV燕豪芬 | 烏特勒支 | PSV燕豪芬 | |
| -2.5 | 2.2% | 97.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 45.455-0.0% | 1.022-0.0% | — | — |
| -1.5 | 6.5% | 93.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15.385+0.0% | 1.07+0.0% | 8.7-43.4% | 1.02-4.6% |
| +0.25 | 29.1% | 70.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.32-3.5% | 1.36-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.5 | 35.5% | 64.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72-3.5% | 1.495-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.75 | 39.4% | 60.6% | 2.09-17.6% | 1.7+3.0% | — | — | — | — | 2.46-3.0% | 1.602-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +1 | 44.6% | 55.4% | 1.99-11.3% | 1.82+0.9% | — | — | 2.17-3.3% | 1.75-3.0% | 2.18-2.9% | 1.752-2.9% | — | — | 2.08-7.3% | 1.7-5.7% |
| +1.25 | 51.0% | 49.0% | 1.87-4.6% | 1.93-5.5% | 1.94-1.0% | 1.96-4.0% | 2.04+4.1% | 1.8-11.9% | 1.909-2.6% | 1.99-2.6% | — | — | — | — |
| +1.5 | 56.4% | 43.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.7-4.2% | 2.25-1.8% | 1.73-2.5% | 2.22-3.1% | 1.77-0.3% | 2.299+0.3% | 1.708-3.8% | 2.192-4.3% |
| +1.75 | 61.8% | 38.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.568-3.0% | 2.54-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +2 | 68.6% | 31.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.407-3.4% | 3.08-3.4% | — | — | 1.33-8.7% | 2.83-11.3% |
| +2.25 | 71.7% | 28.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.346-3.5% | 3.41-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| +2.5 | 74.5% | 25.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.342-0.0% | 3.922-0.0% | 1.23-8.4% | 3.42-12.8% |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 98.3% | 1.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.017-0.0% | 58.824-0.0% | 1.007-1.0% | 29-50.7% |
| 1.5 | 91.5% | 8.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.093+0.0% | 11.765+0.0% | 1.011-7.5% | 8.6-26.9% |
| 2.5 | 76.7% | 23.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.266-2.9% | 3.98-7.2% | 1.29-1.1% | 4.444+3.6% | 1.2-8.0% | 3.7-13.7% |
| 3.25 | 63.4% | 36.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.521-3.5% | 2.64-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 3.5 | 57.5% | 42.5% | 1.6-7.9% | 2.19-7.0% | — | — | 1.69-2.8% | 2.23-5.3% | 1.68-3.3% | 2.28-3.2% | 1.739+0.1% | 2.353-0.1% | 1.691-2.7% | 2.221-5.7% |
| 3.75 | 52.8% | 47.2% | 1.74-8.1% | 1.97-7.1% | 1.75-7.6% | 2.14+1.0% | 1.86-1.8% | 2.02-4.7% | 1.84-2.8% | 2.06-2.8% | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | 47.0% | 53.0% | — | — | — | — | 2.08-2.3% | 1.8-4.6% | 2.06-3.2% | 1.826-3.2% | — | — | 1.95-8.4% | 1.73-8.3% |
| 4.25 | 41.8% | 58.2% | 2.15-10.2% | 1.62-5.7% | — | — | — | — | 2.31-3.5% | 1.658-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 4.5 | 37.1% | 62.9% | 2.35-12.9% | 1.52-4.4% | — | — | — | — | 2.55-5.4% | 1.541-3.0% | 2.74+1.6% | 1.575-0.9% | 2.375-11.9% | 1.47-7.5% |
| 5.5 | 21.3% | 78.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.36-7.3% | 1.232-3.0% | 4.878+3.7% | 1.258-1.0% | 3.92-16.6% | 1.175-7.5% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當,沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻,因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估,了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率=Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率(市場價格轉換,非 AI 模型)。 本頁隨投注種類更新,完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本:consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理,所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考,不構成投注建議,亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注,理性判斷、量力而為。