法甲・同日第 2 場｜2026-08-30（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 雷恩 | 和 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 和 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 和 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 和 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 和 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 和 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 和 | 勒芒 | |
| 勝負 | 67.8% | 19.3% | 12.9% | 1.32-10.6% | 4.55-12.2% | 6.4-17.1% | 2.67 | 3.85-25.7% | 2.04-73.6% | 1.27-14.0% | 9.0 | 4.53-41.3% | 1.439-2.5% | 5.05-2.5% | 7.2-6.8% | 1.46-1.1% | 5.128-1.0% | 8.0+3.6% | 1.463-0.9% | 5.08-2.0% | 7.41-4.0% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 雷恩 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 勒芒 | 雷恩 | 勒芒 | |
| -2.5 | 24.5% | 75.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.082+0.0% | 1.325+0.0% | 3.5-14.2% | 1.222-7.7% |
| -2.25 | 27.2% | 72.8% | — | — | — | — | 3.57-3.0% | 1.331-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| -2 | 30.6% | 69.4% | — | — | — | — | 3.17-3.0% | 1.397-3.0% | — | — | 2.89-11.6% | 1.34-7.0% |
| -1.75 | 38.3% | 61.7% | — | — | — | — | 2.54-2.7% | 1.578-2.7% | — | — | — | — |
| -1.5 | 44.6% | 55.4% | — | — | 2.19-2.4% | 1.76-2.4% | 2.18-2.8% | 1.758-2.6% | 2.247+0.2% | 1.802-0.1% | 2.212-1.4% | 1.776-1.6% |
| -1.25 | 50.5% | 49.5% | 1.9-4.1% | 1.92-4.9% | 1.94-2.1% | 1.98-1.9% | 1.943-1.9% | 1.98-1.9% | — | — | — | — |
| -1 | 58.2% | 41.8% | — | — | 1.65-4.0% | 2.36-1.3% | 1.676-2.5% | 2.33-2.5% | — | — | 1.65-4.0% | 2.24-6.3% |
| -0.75 | 63.7% | 36.3% | — | — | — | — | 1.529-2.6% | 2.68-2.6% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.5 | 67.8% | 32.2% | — | — | — | — | 1.429-3.1% | 3.01-3.1% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.25 | 74.7% | 25.3% | — | — | — | — | 1.298-3.0% | 3.84-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +1.5 | 96.0% | 4.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.042+0.0% | 25.0+0.0% | — | — |
| +2.5 | 98.9% | 1.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.011-0.0% | 90.909-0.0% | — | — |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 96.0% | 4.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.042+0.0% | 25.0+0.0% | 1.019-2.2% | 17.5-30.0% |
| 1.5 | 83.0% | 17.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.205+0.0% | 5.882+0.0% | 1.123-6.8% | 4.65-20.9% |
| 2 | 76.9% | 23.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.256-3.5% | 4.17-3.5% | — | — | 1.193-8.3% | 3.82-11.6% |
| 2.25 | 68.0% | 32.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.418-3.5% | 3.02-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 2.5 | 61.3% | 38.7% | 1.48-9.2% | 2.45-5.3% | — | — | — | — | 1.585-2.8% | 2.5-3.4% | 1.626-0.2% | 2.597+0.4% | 1.52-6.8% | 2.33-9.9% |
| 2.75 | 56.5% | 43.5% | 1.65-6.8% | 2.1-8.6% | — | — | 1.7-4.0% | 2.25-2.1% | 1.719-2.9% | 2.23-2.9% | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | 50.5% | 49.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.95-1.6% | 1.95-3.4% | 1.935-2.4% | 1.971-2.4% | — | — | 1.85-6.6% | 1.87-7.4% |
| 3.25 | 44.3% | 55.7% | 2.02-10.5% | 1.7-5.3% | — | — | 2.2-2.6% | 1.73-3.6% | 2.19-3.0% | 1.741-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 3.5 | 39.5% | 60.5% | 2.29-9.6% | 1.55-6.2% | — | — | — | — | 2.46-2.9% | 1.602-3.0% | 2.532-0.1% | 1.653+0.1% | 2.487-1.8% | 1.631-1.3% |
| 3.75 | 33.6% | 66.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87-3.4% | 1.455-3.4% | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | 26.4% | 73.6% | — | — | 1.95-48.4% | 1.85 | — | — | 3.65-3.5% | 1.312-3.5% | — | — | 3.4-10.1% | 1.28-5.8% |
| 4.5 | 21.0% | 79.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.762+0.0% | 1.266+0.0% | 4-16.0% | 1.194-5.7% |
| 5.5 | 9.5% | 90.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.526+0.0% | 1.105+0.0% | 7.2-31.6% | 1.035-6.3% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。