義甲｜2026-08-31（香港時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 主客和 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 萊切 | 和 | 羅馬 | 萊切 | 和 | 羅馬 | 萊切 | 和 | 羅馬 | 萊切 | 和 | 羅馬 | 萊切 | 和 | 羅馬 | 萊切 | 和 | 羅馬 | 萊切 | 和 | 羅馬 | |
| 勝負 | 11.7% | 21.8% | 66.5% | 7.75-9.2% | 4.3-6.3% | 1.29-14.2% | 7.2-15.6% | 4.45-3.0% | 1.45-3.6% | 3.36-60.6% | 7.8 | 1.44-4.2% | 8.14-4.6% | 4.4-4.1% | 1.461-2.9% | 8.696+1.9% | 4.651+1.3% | 1.504+0.0% | 10.4+21.9% | 4.425-3.6% | 1.441-4.2% |
| 讓球 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 萊切 | 羅馬 | 萊切 | 羅馬 | 萊切 | 羅馬 | 萊切 | 羅馬 | 萊切 | 羅馬 | 萊切 | 羅馬 | 萊切 | 羅馬 | |
| -2.5 | 0.5% | 99.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 200.0-0.0% | 1.005-0.0% | — | — |
| -1.5 | 2.7% | 97.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 36.364-0.0% | 1.028-0.0% | — | — |
| +0.25 | 25.3% | 74.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83-3.0% | 1.299-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.5 | 33.3% | 66.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.91-3.0% | 1.455-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.75 | 38.2% | 61.8% | — | — | — | — | 2.53-3.4% | 1.59-1.7% | 2.55-2.6% | 1.575-2.6% | — | — | — | — |
| +1 | 44.7% | 55.3% | 2.12-5.2% | 1.73-4.4% | — | — | 2.2-1.6% | 1.77-2.1% | 2.18-2.5% | 1.763-2.5% | — | — | 2.14-4.3% | 1.71-5.5% |
| +1.25 | 52.9% | 47.1% | 1.89-0.1% | 1.93-9.0% | 1.84-2.7% | 2.06-2.9% | 1.86-1.7% | 2.08-1.9% | 1.855-1.9% | 2.08-1.9% | — | — | — | — |
| +1.5 | 59.2% | 40.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.64-2.9% | 2.42-1.3% | 1.649-2.3% | 2.37-3.4% | 1.681-0.4% | 2.469+0.7% | 1.649-2.3% | 2.447-0.2% |
| +1.75 | 65.9% | 34.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.478-2.7% | 2.85-2.7% | — | — | — | — |
| +2 | 74.3% | 25.7% | — | — | — | — | 1.76 | 2.08-46.6% | 1.305-3.0% | 3.78-3.0% | — | — | 1.22-9.3% | 3.66-6.1% |
| +2.25 | 77.2% | 22.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.256-3.0% | 4.26-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +2.5 | 80.5% | 19.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.242-0.0% | 5.128-0.0% | 1.131-9.0% | 4.55-11.3% |
| 入球大細 | 概率 | 香港賽馬會 | 熊貓 | MT | Pinnacle | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | 大 | 細 | |
| 0.5 | 93.0% | 7.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.075-0.0% | 14.286-0.0% | 1.01-6.1% | 11-23.0% |
| 1.5 | 72.8% | 27.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.337-2.6% | 3.47-5.8% | 1.361-0.9% | 3.774+2.5% | 1.28-6.8% | 3.3-10.4% |
| 1.75 | 68.4% | 31.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.412-3.5% | 3.05-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | 63.4% | 36.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.52-3.6% | 2.66-2.7% | 1.529-3.0% | 2.65-3.0% | — | — | 1.46-7.4% | 2.57-6.0% |
| 2.25 | 54.5% | 45.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.78-3.1% | 2.16-1.6% | 1.781-3.0% | 2.13-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 2.5 | 48.0% | 52.0% | 1.81-13.0% | 1.89-1.8% | 2.04-2.0% | 1.84-4.4% | 2.03-2.5% | 1.89-1.8% | 2.05-1.5% | 1.862-3.3% | 2.062-0.9% | 1.942+0.9% | 2.039-2.0% | 1.905-1.0% |
| 2.75 | 41.5% | 58.5% | 2.05-15.0% | 1.68-1.7% | — | — | 2.29-5.0% | 1.69-1.1% | 2.34-3.0% | 1.658-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | 33.7% | 66.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88-3.1% | 1.461-3.1% | — | — | 2.71-8.8% | 1.42-5.8% |
| 3.25 | 29.9% | 70.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23-3.5% | 1.376-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 3.5 | 26.7% | 73.3% | 3.1-17.4% | 1.31-3.9% | — | — | — | — | 3.6-4.1% | 1.318-3.3% | 3.774+0.6% | 1.361-0.2% | 3.36-10.4% | 1.27-6.8% |
| 4.5 | 12.0% | 88.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8.333-0.0% | 1.136-0.0% | 6.7-19.6% | 1.046-7.9% |
| 5.5 | 4.7% | 95.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.277-0.0% | 1.049-0.0% | 13.5-36.6% | 1.03-1.8% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識概率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識概率＝Pinnacle與 Polymarket 收盤投注種類去水後的平均隱含概率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨投注種類更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 香港賽馬會為香港唯一合法受規管之博彩營辦商。本站為賽事數據與市場資料整理，所列各家投注種類僅供市場比較與研究參考，不構成投注建議，亦不連往任何博彩網站。使用者須自行遵守所在地區之法律規範。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。