紅人 vs 落磯|市場共識勝率與盤口比較

MLB|2026-07-19(台灣時間)|資料僅供賽事研究參考,非投注建議

紅人落磯
台灣時間 07/19 06:10 開賽

市場共識勝率

49.4%50.6%
紅人落磯

建議(目前)

紅人 +1.5市場價格 1.729(1xbet)共識勝率 58.1%落差 +0.4%

目前盤口明細

獨贏機率台灣運彩平博PolymarketKalshi1xbet
紅人落磯紅人落磯紅人落磯紅人落磯紅人落磯紅人落磯
勝負49.4%50.6%1.82-10.1%1.68-15.0%1.98-2.2%1.926-2.6%2.02-0.2%1.98+0.2%2.02-0.2%1.98+0.2%1.981-2.1%1.939-1.9%
讓分機率台灣運彩平博Polymarket1xbet
紅人落磯紅人落磯紅人落磯紅人落磯紅人落磯
-1.535.1%64.9%2.72-4.5%1.472-4.5%2.59-9.1%1.45-5.9%
-140.8%59.2%2.36-3.8%1.625-3.8%2.25-8.2%1.6-5.2%
+154.1%45.9%1.787-3.2%2.11-3.2%1.77-4.2%2.01-7.8%
+1.558.1%41.9%1.53-11.2%1.97-17.4%1.671-3.0%2.32-2.7%1.724+0.1%2.381-0.2%1.729+0.4%2.262-5.1%
+263.3%36.7%1.524-3.5%2.63-3.5%1.55-1.9%2.39-12.3%
+2.566.1%33.9%1.45-4.1%2.83-4.1%1.48-2.1%2.54-13.9%
+371.0%29.0%1.34-4.9%3.28-4.9%1.38-2.0%2.85-17.3%
大小分機率台灣運彩平博Polymarket1xbet
11.559.1%40.9%1.621-4.2%2.34-4.2%1.6-5.5%2.25-7.9%
1256.5%43.5%1.704-3.8%2.21-3.8%1.68-5.1%2.13-7.3%
12.552.7%47.3%1.74-8.4%1.76-16.7%1.82-4.1%2.04-3.5%1.905+0.3%2.105-0.4%1.866-1.7%2.063-2.4%
1348.5%51.5%1.99-3.4%1.877-3.4%1.93-6.3%1.83-5.8%
13.544.5%55.5%2.16-3.8%1.735-3.8%2.247+0.0%1.802-0.0%2.08-7.4%1.7-5.7%
1441.1%58.9%2.34-3.8%1.633-3.8%2.24-7.9%1.59-6.4%
14.538.7%61.3%2.47-4.3%1.562-4.3%

數據回顧

目前,1xbet 的「紅人 +1.5」價格 1.729 相對市場共識勝率 58.1% 有 +0.4% 的正向落差,列為本場建議。

市場共識勝率=平博與 Polymarket 收盤盤口去水後的平均隱含機率(市場價格轉換,非 AI 模型)。 本頁隨盤口更新,完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本:consensus-v1。 台灣運動彩券為依法發行之合法彩券;境外盤口僅作市場資料比較。未滿 18 歲不得投注,理性判斷、量力而為。