小熊 vs 老虎|市場共識勝率與盤口比較

MLB|2026-07-21(台灣時間)|資料僅供賽事研究參考,非投注建議

小熊3:4老虎
進行中・8局上

市場共識勝率

51.3%48.7%
小熊老虎

價差訊號(目前)

小熊 +1.5市場價格 1.659(1xbet)共識勝率 61.1%落差 +1.3%

目前盤口明細

獨贏機率台灣運彩熊貓MT平博PolymarketKalshi1xbet
小熊老虎小熊老虎小熊老虎小熊老虎小熊老虎小熊老虎小熊老虎小熊老虎
勝負51.3%48.7%1.66-14.8%1.84-10.5%1.83-6.0%1.91-7.1%1.87-4.0%1.89-8.0%1.917-1.6%2.01-2.2%1.942-0.3%2.062+0.3%1.942-0.3%2.02-1.7%1.919-1.5%2.002-2.6%
讓分機率台灣運彩熊貓MT平博Polymarket1xbet
小熊老虎小熊老虎小熊老虎小熊老虎小熊老虎小熊老虎小熊老虎
-322.9%77.1%4.16-4.7%1.236-4.7%
-2.527.9%72.1%3.44-3.9%1.333-3.9%
-230.1%69.9%3.21-3.2%1.385-3.2%
-1.535.9%64.1%2.15-22.7%1.43-8.4%2.69-3.3%1.47-5.8%2.71-2.6%1.521-2.6%2.53-9.0%1.47-5.8%
-142.4%57.6%2.21-6.3%1.66-4.4%2.29-2.9%1.685-2.9%2.17-8.0%1.64-5.5%
+156.6%43.4%1.67-5.5%2.19-5.0%1.709-3.2%2.23-3.2%1.69-4.3%2.12-8.0%
+1.561.1%38.9%1.56-4.7%2.38-7.3%1.56-4.7%2.42-5.8%1.585-3.2%2.44-5.0%1.626-0.7%2.597+1.1%1.659+1.3%2.395-6.7%
大小分機率台灣運彩熊貓MT平博Polymarket1xbet
1061.7%38.3%1.559-3.8%2.51-3.8%1.55-4.4%2.32-11.1%
10.557.5%42.5%1.68-3.5%2.27-3.5%1.66-4.6%2.14-9.0%
1153.0%47.0%1.81-4.1%2.01-5.6%1.826-3.2%2.06-3.2%1.8-4.6%1.97-7.4%
11.547.7%52.3%1.82-13.2%1.68-12.1%1.96-6.6%1.82-4.8%2.0-4.7%1.82-4.8%2.03-3.2%1.862-2.6%2.105+0.4%1.905-0.3%2.052-2.2%1.876-1.8%
1244.4%55.6%2.14-5.0%1.71-4.9%2.18-3.2%1.741-3.2%2.12-5.9%1.69-6.0%
12.541.6%58.4%2.29-4.8%1.63-4.8%2.32-3.5%1.658-3.1%2.41+0.2%1.709-0.2%2.23-7.3%1.61-6.0%
1336.8%63.2%2.61-4.0%1.518-4.0%2.5-8.1%1.48-6.4%

數據回顧

目前,1xbet 的「小熊 +1.5」價格 1.659 相對市場共識勝率 61.1% 有 +1.3% 的正向落差,列為本場訊號。

看懂這場數據的關鍵

市場共識勝率=平博與 Polymarket 收盤盤口去水後的平均隱含機率(市場價格轉換,非 AI 模型)。 本頁隨盤口更新,完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本:consensus-v1。 台灣運動彩券為依法發行之合法彩券;境外盤口僅作市場資料比較。未滿 18 歲不得投注,理性判斷、量力而為。

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