荷甲・同日第 2 場｜2026-08-08（台灣時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 獨贏 | 機率 | MT | 平博 | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 奈梅亨NEC | 和局 | 特爾斯達 | 奈梅亨NEC | 和局 | 特爾斯達 | 奈梅亨NEC | 和局 | 特爾斯達 | 奈梅亨NEC | 和局 | 特爾斯達 | 奈梅亨NEC | 和局 | 特爾斯達 | |
| 勝負 | 65.5% | 19.5% | 15.0% | 1.21-20.7% | 9.8 | 5.2-22.3% | 1.476-3.3% | 4.88-4.8% | 6.19-7.5% | 1.504-1.4% | 5.128+0.1% | 6.897+3.1% | 1.473-3.5% | 4.94-3.6% | 6.23-6.9% |
| 讓分 | 機率 | MT | 平博 | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 奈梅亨NEC | 特爾斯達 | 奈梅亨NEC | 特爾斯達 | 奈梅亨NEC | 特爾斯達 | 奈梅亨NEC | 特爾斯達 | 奈梅亨NEC | 特爾斯達 | |
| -2.5 | 24.5% | 75.5% | — | — | — | — | 4.082+0.0% | 1.325+0.0% | 3.42-16.2% | 1.23-7.1% |
| -2.25 | 26.8% | 73.2% | — | — | 3.59-3.9% | 1.312-3.9% | — | — | — | — |
| -2 | 29.8% | 70.2% | — | — | 3.23-3.9% | 1.368-3.9% | — | — | 2.83-15.8% | 1.33-6.6% |
| -1.75 | 37.0% | 63.0% | — | — | 2.61-3.5% | 1.532-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| -1.5 | 43.2% | 56.8% | 2.23-3.7% | 1.73-1.7% | 2.26-2.4% | 1.694-3.7% | 2.299-0.7% | 1.77+0.6% | 2.173-6.2% | 1.72-2.3% |
| -1.25 | 48.4% | 51.6% | 1.99-3.7% | 1.93-0.4% | 2.01-2.7% | 1.885-2.7% | — | — | — | — |
| -1 | 55.5% | 44.5% | 1.73-4.0% | 2.23-0.7% | 1.741-3.4% | 2.17-3.4% | — | — | 1.666-7.6% | 2.13-5.2% |
| -0.75 | 61.2% | 38.8% | 1.57-3.9% | 2.53-1.9% | 1.578-3.4% | 2.49-3.4% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.5 | 65.5% | 34.5% | — | — | 1.467-4.0% | 2.78-4.0% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.25 | 72.4% | 27.6% | — | — | 1.328-3.9% | 3.48-3.9% | — | — | — | — |
| +1.5 | 95.0% | 5.0% | — | — | — | — | 1.053+0.0% | 20.0+0.0% | 1.01-4.1% | 10-50.0% |
| +2.5 | 98.5% | 1.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.015+0.0% | 68.966+0.0% | — | — |
| 大小分 | 機率 | MT | 平博 | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | |
| 0.5 | 96.9% | 3.1% | — | — | — | — | 1.032+0.0% | 32.258+0.0% | 1.015-1.6% | 23-28.7% |
| 1.5 | 86.0% | 14.0% | — | — | 1.135-2.4% | 6.17-13.5% | 1.143-1.7% | 8.0+12.2% | 1.058-9.0% | 6.25-12.4% |
| 2.5 | 68.3% | 31.7% | — | — | 1.427-2.6% | 2.9-8.0% | 1.439-1.8% | 3.279+4.1% | 1.333-9.0% | 2.83-10.2% |
| 2.75 | 63.3% | 36.7% | — | — | 1.518-3.9% | 2.62-3.9% | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | 58.5% | 41.5% | 1.6-6.5% | 2.42+0.5% | 1.649-3.6% | 2.32-3.6% | — | — | 1.53-10.6% | 2.29-4.9% |
| 3.25 | 51.6% | 48.4% | 1.82-6.1% | 2.08+0.7% | 1.877-3.2% | 2.0-3.2% | — | — | — | — |
| 3.5 | 47.3% | 52.7% | 2.04-3.5% | 1.86-2.0% | 2.09-1.1% | 1.787-5.8% | 2.062-2.5% | 1.942+2.3% | 2.005-5.2% | 1.842-2.9% |
| 3.75 | 40.6% | 59.4% | 2.29-7.1% | 1.67-0.7% | 2.37-3.9% | 1.617-3.9% | — | — | — | — |
| 4.5 | 28.2% | 71.8% | — | — | 3.44-3.1% | 1.325-4.8% | 3.509-1.2% | 1.399+0.5% | 3.05-14.1% | 1.29-7.3% |
| 5.5 | 14.9% | 85.1% | — | — | 6.3-6.4% | 1.131-3.7% | 6.897+2.5% | 1.17-0.4% | 5.45-19.0% | 1.085-7.6% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識勝率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識勝率＝平博與 Polymarket 收盤盤口去水後的平均隱含機率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨盤口更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 台灣運動彩券為依法發行之合法彩券；境外盤口僅作市場資料比較。所有內容僅供賽事研究與市場理解參考，不構成投注建議。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。