西甲｜2026-08-20（台灣時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 獨贏 | 機率 | 台灣運彩 | 熊貓 | MT | 平博 | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 巴列卡諾 | 和局 | 阿拉維斯 | 巴列卡諾 | 和局 | 阿拉維斯 | 巴列卡諾 | 和局 | 阿拉維斯 | 巴列卡諾 | 和局 | 阿拉維斯 | 巴列卡諾 | 和局 | 阿拉維斯 | 巴列卡諾 | 和局 | 阿拉維斯 | 巴列卡諾 | 和局 | 阿拉維斯 | |
| 勝負 | 39.5% | 31.1% | 29.4% | 2.1-17.1% | 2.7-16.1% | 2.8-17.6% | 2.29-9.6% | 3.05-5.2% | 3.4+0.1% | 1.59-37.2% | 7.3 | 2.82-17.0% | 2.45-3.3% | 3.15-2.1% | 3.29-3.1% | 2.532-0.1% | 3.175-1.3% | 3.39-0.2% | 2.459-2.9% | 3.15-2.1% | 3.435+1.1% |
| 讓分 | 機率 | 熊貓 | MT | 平博 | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 巴列卡諾 | 阿拉維斯 | 巴列卡諾 | 阿拉維斯 | 巴列卡諾 | 阿拉維斯 | 巴列卡諾 | 阿拉維斯 | 巴列卡諾 | 阿拉維斯 | 巴列卡諾 | 阿拉維斯 | |
| -2.5 | 5.5% | 94.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.182-0.0% | 1.058-0.0% | 11.5-36.8% | 1.01-4.6% |
| -1.5 | 17.5% | 82.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5.714-0.0% | 1.212-0.0% | 5.05-11.6% | 1.126-7.1% |
| -1.25 | 20.2% | 79.8% | — | — | — | — | 4.8-2.9% | 1.217-2.9% | — | — | — | — |
| -1 | 22.9% | 77.1% | — | — | 1.94-55.5% | 1.9 | 4.23-3.0% | 1.259-3.0% | — | — | 4.05-7.1% | 1.21-6.8% |
| -0.75 | 32.3% | 67.7% | — | — | — | — | 3.01-2.6% | 1.439-2.6% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.5 | 39.8% | 60.2% | — | — | 2.49-1.0% | 1.61-3.0% | 2.45-2.6% | 1.617-2.6% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.25 | 46.9% | 53.1% | 1.99-6.6% | 1.91+1.4% | 2.09-1.9% | 1.85-1.8% | 2.09-1.9% | 1.847-1.9% | — | — | — | — |
| 0 | 57.3% | 42.7% | — | — | — | — | 1.699-2.6% | 2.28-2.6% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.25 | 65.1% | 34.9% | — | — | 1.48-3.7% | 2.85-0.4% | 1.498-2.5% | 2.79-2.5% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.5 | 70.3% | 29.7% | — | — | — | — | 1.379-3.0% | 3.27-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.75 | 77.2% | 22.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.257-3.0% | 4.25-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +1.5 | 89.5% | 10.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.117-0.0% | 9.524-0.0% | 1.045-6.5% | 7.7-19.2% |
| +2.5 | 97.1% | 2.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.03+0.0% | 34.483+0.0% | — | — |
| 大小分 | 機率 | 台灣運彩 | 熊貓 | MT | 平博 | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | |
| 0.5 | 89.5% | 10.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.117-0.0% | 9.524-0.0% | 1.068-4.4% | 7.2-24.4% |
| 1.25 | 74.4% | 25.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.287-4.2% | 3.75-4.2% | — | — | — | — |
| 1.5 | 67.0% | 33.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.441-3.4% | 2.87-5.4% | 1.481-0.7% | 3.077+1.4% | 1.47-1.5% | 2.72-10.4% |
| 1.75 | 61.5% | 38.5% | — | — | — | — | 1.59-2.2% | 2.49-4.1% | 1.565-3.8% | 2.5-3.8% | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | 54.3% | 45.7% | — | — | 1.9+3.3% | 1.98-9.6% | 1.82-1.1% | 2.11-3.7% | 1.781-3.2% | 2.12-3.2% | — | — | 1.78-3.3% | 1.99-9.1% |
| 2.25 | 45.8% | 54.2% | — | — | — | — | 2.14-2.0% | 1.79-3.0% | 2.13-2.4% | 1.8-2.4% | — | — | — | — |
| 2.5 | 39.6% | 60.4% | 2.07-18.1% | 1.45-12.4% | — | — | 2.42-4.3% | 1.62-2.1% | 2.44-3.5% | 1.602-3.2% | 2.532+0.2% | 1.653-0.1% | 2.514-0.5% | 1.619-2.2% |
| 2.75 | 33.2% | 66.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.9-3.7% | 1.442-3.7% | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | 25.4% | 74.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.78-4.2% | 1.284-4.2% | — | — | 3.64-7.7% | 1.23-8.2% |
| 3.25 | 22.8% | 77.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21-4.1% | 1.242-4.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 3.5 | 19.5% | 80.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5.128-0.0% | 1.242-0.0% | 4.4-14.2% | 1.146-7.7% |
| 4.5 | 7.5% | 92.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13.333-0.0% | 1.081-0.0% | 9.7-27.3% | 1.03-4.7% |
| 5.5 | 2.6% | 97.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37.736-0.0% | 1.027-0.0% | 19-49.7% | 1.015-1.2% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識勝率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識勝率＝平博與 Polymarket 收盤盤口去水後的平均隱含機率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨盤口更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 台灣運動彩券為依法發行之合法彩券；境外盤口僅作市場資料比較。所有內容僅供賽事研究與市場理解參考，不構成投注建議。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。