K聯賽・同日第 2 場｜2026-08-29（台灣時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 獨贏 | 機率 | 台灣運彩 | 熊貓 | MT | 平博 | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 蔚山HD | 和局 | 金泉尚武 | 蔚山HD | 和局 | 金泉尚武 | 蔚山HD | 和局 | 金泉尚武 | 蔚山HD | 和局 | 金泉尚武 | 蔚山HD | 和局 | 金泉尚武 | 蔚山HD | 和局 | 金泉尚武 | 蔚山HD | 和局 | 金泉尚武 | |
| 勝負 | 42.1% | 27.0% | 30.9% | 1.95-17.9% | 2.95-20.2% | 2.65-18.2% | 2.24-5.7% | 3.55-4.0% | 3.05-5.8% | 2.23-6.2% | 3.33-9.9% | 2.99-7.7% | 2.31-2.8% | 3.62-2.1% | 3.08-4.9% | 2.353-1.0% | 3.636-1.7% | 3.279+1.2% | 2.22-6.6% | 3.52-4.8% | 3.005-7.2% |
| 讓分 | 機率 | 熊貓 | MT | 平博 | Polymarket | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 蔚山HD | 金泉尚武 | 蔚山HD | 金泉尚武 | 蔚山HD | 金泉尚武 | 蔚山HD | 金泉尚武 | 蔚山HD | 金泉尚武 | |
| -2.5 | 8.0% | 92.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12.5+0.0% | 1.087+0.0% |
| -1.5 | 20.5% | 79.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.878+0.0% | 1.258+0.0% |
| -1.25 | 24.1% | 75.9% | — | — | — | — | 4.01-3.4% | 1.272-3.4% | — | — |
| -1 | 27.1% | 72.9% | — | — | — | — | 3.57-3.4% | 1.324-3.4% | — | — |
| -0.75 | 35.4% | 64.6% | — | — | — | — | 2.74-3.1% | 1.5-3.1% | — | — |
| -0.5 | 42.0% | 58.0% | — | — | — | — | 2.31-2.9% | 1.676-2.9% | — | — |
| -0.25 | 48.4% | 51.6% | 2.02-2.3% | 1.88-2.9% | 1.99-3.7% | 1.91-1.4% | 2.02-2.3% | 1.893-2.3% | — | — |
| 0 | 57.2% | 42.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.699-2.8% | 2.27-2.8% | — | — |
| +0.25 | 63.7% | 36.3% | — | — | — | — | 1.521-3.1% | 2.67-3.1% | — | — |
| +0.5 | 68.4% | 31.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.41-3.6% | 3.05-3.6% | — | — |
| +0.75 | 74.9% | 25.1% | — | — | — | — | 1.289-3.4% | 3.85-3.4% | — | — |
| +1.5 | 87.5% | 12.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.143+0.0% | 8.0+0.0% |
| +2.5 | 96.1% | 3.9% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.041-0.0% | 25.316-0.0% |
| 大小分 | 機率 | 台灣運彩 | 熊貓 | MT | 平博 | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | |
| 0.5 | 93.5% | 6.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.07+0.0% | 15.385+0.0% | — | — |
| 1.5 | 77.0% | 23.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.255-3.4% | 4.09-6.0% | 1.29-0.7% | 4.444+2.2% | — | — |
| 2.25 | 60.3% | 39.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.602-3.5% | 2.43-3.5% | — | — | — | — |
| 2.5 | 53.3% | 46.7% | 1.63-13.2% | 1.8-15.9% | — | — | 1.86-0.9% | 2.02-5.6% | 1.826-2.7% | 2.06-3.7% | 1.869-0.5% | 2.151+0.5% | 1.78-5.2% | 2-6.5% |
| 2.75 | 47.4% | 52.6% | — | — | 2.01-4.7% | 1.87-1.6% | 2.08-1.4% | 1.8-5.3% | 2.05-2.8% | 1.847-2.8% | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | 40.3% | 59.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.4-3.2% | 1.621-3.2% | — | — | — | — |
| 3.25 | 35.5% | 64.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72-3.4% | 1.498-3.4% | — | — | — | — |
| 3.5 | 31.2% | 68.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01-6.1% | 1.41-3.0% | 3.279+2.3% | 1.439-1.0% | — | — |
| 4.5 | 15.6% | 84.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5.77-10.1% | 1.154-2.6% | 6.897+7.5% | 1.17-1.2% | — | — |
| 5.5 | 6.0% | 94.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16.667+0.0% | 1.064+0.0% | — | — |
本場目前各市場價格與共識勝率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識勝率＝平博與 Polymarket 收盤盤口去水後的平均隱含機率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨盤口更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 台灣運動彩券為依法發行之合法彩券；境外盤口僅作市場資料比較。所有內容僅供賽事研究與市場理解參考，不構成投注建議。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。