西甲｜2026-08-31（台灣時間）｜資料僅供賽事研究參考，非投注建議
目前，三個市場都沒到訊號門檻。
| 獨贏 | 機率 | 台灣運彩 | 熊貓 | MT | 平博 | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 奧薩蘇納 | 和局 | 赫塔費 | 奧薩蘇納 | 和局 | 赫塔費 | 奧薩蘇納 | 和局 | 赫塔費 | 奧薩蘇納 | 和局 | 赫塔費 | 奧薩蘇納 | 和局 | 赫塔費 | 奧薩蘇納 | 和局 | 赫塔費 | 奧薩蘇納 | 和局 | 赫塔費 | |
| 勝負 | 42.6% | 34.0% | 23.3% | 2.0-14.7% | 2.5-14.9% | 3.3-23.0% | 2.2-6.2% | 3.0+2.1% | 3.75-12.5% | 1.52-35.2% | 7.3 | 3.05-28.9% | 2.31-1.5% | 2.86-2.7% | 4.09-4.6% | 2.353+0.3% | 2.985+1.6% | 4.444+3.7% | 2.327-0.8% | 2.957+0.6% | 4.04-5.8% |
| 讓分 | 機率 | 熊貓 | MT | 平博 | Polymarket | 1xbet | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 奧薩蘇納 | 赫塔費 | 奧薩蘇納 | 赫塔費 | 奧薩蘇納 | 赫塔費 | 奧薩蘇納 | 赫塔費 | 奧薩蘇納 | 赫塔費 | 奧薩蘇納 | 赫塔費 | |
| -2.5 | 4.9% | 95.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.408+0.0% | 1.052+0.0% | — | — |
| -1.5 | 16.5% | 83.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6.061+0.0% | 1.198+0.0% | 4.65-23.3% | 1.131-5.6% |
| -1.25 | 20.8% | 79.2% | — | — | — | — | 4.66-2.9% | 1.226-2.9% | — | — | — | — |
| -1 | 24.0% | 76.0% | — | — | 1.74-58.2% | 2.11 | 4.04-3.0% | 1.277-3.0% | — | — | 3.65-12.3% | 1.23-6.5% |
| -0.75 | 34.4% | 65.6% | — | — | 2.88-1.0% | 1.47-3.5% | 2.83-2.7% | 1.483-2.7% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.5 | 42.4% | 57.6% | — | — | 2.28-3.4% | 1.72-0.9% | 2.3-2.6% | 1.69-2.6% | — | — | — | — |
| -0.25 | 50.9% | 49.1% | 1.87-4.7% | 2.03-0.4% | 1.93-1.7% | 2.01-1.4% | 1.926-1.9% | 2.0-1.9% | — | — | — | — |
| 0 | 64.1% | 35.9% | — | — | — | — | 1.518-2.7% | 2.71-2.7% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.25 | 71.4% | 28.6% | — | — | — | — | 1.365-2.6% | 3.4-2.6% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.5 | 76.0% | 24.0% | — | — | — | — | 1.276-3.0% | 4.05-3.0% | — | — | — | — |
| +0.75 | 82.7% | 17.3% | — | — | — | — | 1.175-2.8% | 5.62-2.8% | — | — | — | — |
| +1.5 | 93.5% | 6.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.07+0.0% | 15.385+0.0% | 1.007-5.8% | 9.4-38.9% |
| +2.5 | 98.7% | 1.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.013-0.0% | 76.923-0.0% | — | — |
| 大小分 | 機率 | 台灣運彩 | 熊貓 | MT | 平博 | Polymarket | 1xbet | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | 大 | 小 | |
| 0.5 | 84.5% | 15.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.183-0.0% | 6.452-0.0% | 1.113-5.9% | 5.3-17.9% |
| 0.75 | 80.2% | 19.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.196-4.1% | 4.83-4.1% | — | — | — | — |
| 1 | 76.8% | 23.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1.248-4.1% | 4.14-4.1% | — | — | 1.21-7.0% | 4.05-6.2% |
| 1.25 | 65.2% | 34.8% | — | — | — | — | 1.47-4.1% | 2.81-2.3% | 1.476-3.7% | 2.77-3.7% | — | — | — | — |
| 1.5 | 57.1% | 42.9% | 1.53-12.7% | 1.93-17.1% | — | — | 1.72-1.9% | 2.25-3.4% | 1.709-2.5% | 2.23-4.2% | 1.739-0.8% | 2.353+1.0% | 1.734-1.1% | 2.281-2.0% |
| 1.75 | 49.8% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.91-5.0% | 1.97-1.0% | 2.0-0.5% | 1.92-3.5% | 1.962-2.4% | 1.943-2.4% | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | 40.3% | 59.7% | — | — | — | — | 2.42-2.4% | 1.62-3.3% | 2.4-3.2% | 1.621-3.2% | — | — | 2.22-10.5% | 1.6-4.5% |
| 2.25 | 34.0% | 66.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83-3.7% | 1.459-3.7% | — | — | — | — |
| 2.5 | 30.0% | 70.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24-2.7% | 1.361-4.8% | 3.279-1.5% | 1.439+0.7% | 2.93-12.0% | 1.34-6.3% |
| 2.75 | 23.4% | 76.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4.09-4.2% | 1.251-4.2% | — | — | — | — |
| 3.5 | 13.5% | 86.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7.407-0.0% | 1.156-0.0% | 5.9-20.4% | 1.069-7.5% |
| 4.5 | 4.5% | 95.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.472+0.0% | 1.047+0.0% | 14.5-35.5% | 1.025-2.1% |
| 5.5 | 1.5% | 98.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 66.667-0.0% | 1.015-0.0% | 27-59.5% | 1.005-1.0% |
本場目前各市場價格與共識勝率相當，沒到訊號門檻。
這場的價格與市場共識差距未達門檻，因此沒有標示價差訊號。可從共識的形成、收盤價值與誤差評估，了解系統如何檢視長期表現。
市場共識勝率＝平博與 Polymarket 收盤盤口去水後的平均隱含機率（市場價格轉換，非 AI 模型）。 本頁隨盤口更新，完賽後定稿並回填賽果。模型版本：consensus-v1。 台灣運動彩券為依法發行之合法彩券；境外盤口僅作市場資料比較。所有內容僅供賽事研究與市場理解參考，不構成投注建議。未滿 18 歲不得投注，理性判斷、量力而為。